Dolphins vs. Chiefs Prediction, Best Bets & Odds for Sat, 1/13: Peacock
Although it wasn’t the AFC East title that they looked destined to claim, the Miami Dolphins are still in the postseason, and their journey to Super Bowl 58 starts with a road game against the Kansas City Chiefs. For this rematch that took place in London earlier this season, our experts have broken down their best Dolphins vs. Chiefs prediction.
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DOLPHINS VS. CHIEFS PREDICTION: Under 44 points (-115 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
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Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction for Saturday's Game
There is no denying that the Dolphins have one of the toughest tests of Super Wild Card Weekend. Right off the bat, playing in cold Kansas City is far different than the comfort of South Beach.
It also doesn’t help that Miami’s health took a turn for the worst and the tail end of the season. Even still, they have a talented enough roster to compete with a Chiefs team that is a far cry from what they’ve been the past few seasons. With that in mind, we’d rather avoid relying on either team to win or cover a spread. So, our best Dolphins vs. Chiefs prediction is going to focus on the over/under.
Best Bets for Dolphins vs. Chiefs Featuring Under 44 Points
It may seem shocking that we’re targeting the under given the two teams in play. Miami has had the best offense in the NFL this season, and even put up 70 points in a single game! However, we have plenty of reasons to expect this game to stay under 44 points.
We already mentioned Miami’s injury issues, and those are primarily with their offensive superstars. Both WR Jaylen Waddle and RB Raheem Mostert have missed the last two games, and WR Tyreek Hill and RB De’Von Achane have also been questionable for weeks. Lefty QB Tua Tagovailoa has been proving doubters wrong, but he needs weapons around him.
Furthermore, the Chiefs offense is a shell of what it used to be when Tyreek Hill himself was on the team. It’s been talked about ad nauseam at this point, but KC led the NFL in dropped passes this season, and it’s even cost them a few games. Outside of the Mahomes to Kelce connection, their offense simply isn’t what it used to be.
Not only are both offenses not at top efficiency, but the KC defense has been quietly incredible this season. They’ve allowed the second-fewest yards per game overall, and more importantly for this matchup, the fourth-fewest passing yards per game. When these teams met in London, that was on full display.
There were just 35 points in that game, which was also the case in Miami’s season finale against the Buffalo Bills, a comparable team to the Chiefs. In years past, this play would seem crazy, but given these circumstances, our best Dolphins vs. Chiefs prediction is under 44 points (-115 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
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Betting Odds for Dolphins vs. Chiefs at DraftKings
Based on the Dolphins vs. Chiefs odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, an $11.50 bet on the top pick from our Dolphins vs. Chiefs best bets profits $10 as long as there are 43 or fewer points scored.
Point Spread:
- Miami Dolphins +4.5 (-110) vs. Kansas City Chiefs -4.5 (-110)
Money Line:
- Miami Dolphins (+185) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-225)
Total (over/under):
- Over 44 (-105) vs. Under 44 (-115)
Injury Report for Dolphins vs. Chiefs
We mentioned injury concerns when breaking down our Dolphins vs. Chiefs prediction, and we’ve shared all those with designations leading up to the weekend:
- Raheem Mostert (MIA Dolphins)
- Jaylen Waddle (MIA Dolphins)
- Andrew Van Ginkel (MIA Dolphins)
- Jerome Baker (MIA Dolphins)
- Cameron Goode (MIA Dolphins)
- Xavien Howard (MIA Dolphins)
- Rashee Rice (KC Chiefs)
- Kadarius Toney (KC Chiefs)
- Donovan Smith (KC Chiefs)
- L’Jarius Sneed (KC Chiefs)
Dolphins Super Bowl Odds
Now that the playoff field is set, we have 14 teams still alive for Super Bowl 58, and the latest Miami Dolphins Super Bowl odds are +1800 at DraftKings. Remember, you can take advantage of those great odds and not even need it to win while still claiming over $200 in guaranteed bonuses when you become a new member today.
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