Dak Prescott and the Best Fantasy Football Underdog Props for NFL Sunday Night Football on September 13, 2026

In this story:
As the Dallas Cowboys head to East Rutherford for a Week 1 division battle at MetLife Stadium, bettors are looking for clear edges on player production. Featuring a revamped Giants' defensive unit under coordinator Dennard Wilson and a high-octane Cowboys' passing attack led by Dak Prescott and his dangerous duo of premier receivers, this matchup offers high-value prop line opportunties across both rosters.
Bright lights. Big city. Who's in? 🤩
— Sunday Night Football on NBC (@SNFonNBC) September 12, 2026
📺 Cowboys at Giants: Sunday 7 p.m. ET on NBC & Peacock pic.twitter.com/5HslaeJyF3
Below is a detailed, confidence-ranked analysis of the strongest Week 1 player prop plays for Underdog Fantasy Sportsbook.
Dallas Cowboys Players Props
CeeDee Lamb: HIGHER Receiving Yards
Prop Total: 69.5 yards
Confidence: 80%
CeeDee Lamb on expectations for Cowboys this season, via @WerderEdNFL:
— Underdog NFL (@UnderdogNFL) September 10, 2026
"I want us to proclaim dominance. I want us to be who we think we are." pic.twitter.com/kAamFJl2MX
Lamb remains the foundational piece of the Cowboys' passing attack. The Cowboys return their core offensive assets, and Prescott has a long history of standard-setting efficiency against the Giants. Facing a secondary adapting to a new defensive coordinator, Lamb's target baseline makes him the single safest volume play on the board. The presence of George Pickens on the outside will balance coverage, preventing double-teams and creating favorable isolated matchups for Lamb.
Javonte Williams: LOWER Rushing Yards
Prop Total: 69.5 yards
Confidence: 75%
Javonte Williams Set To Resume Workhorse Role In Week 1 https://t.co/Heqn5dy54k
— RotoBaller NFL (@RotoBallerNFL) September 12, 2026
Williams projects to command the lion's share of early-down work with Malik Davis ruled out. Although he is coming off a productive 2025 campaign in Dallas, high attempt totals don't automatically translate to a large yardage output. If the Cowboys control the tempo early, it is far more likely to attack the Giants' secondary through Prescott, Lamb and Pickens rather than grinding out efficient gains between the tackles.
Dak Prescott: HIGHER Passing Yards
Prop Total: 249.5 yards
Confidence: 70%
.@DallasCowboys wide receiver CeeDee Lamb had the highest praise for Dak Prescott as a leader 👏
— Netflix Sports (@netflixsports) September 9, 2026
“First in the facility. Last to leave.”
📺 The White House with @michaelirvin88, on Netflix pic.twitter.com/GLPw0S9OUu
Prescott enters this matchup with significant advantages. He commands one of the NFC's highest-upside receiving groups against a transitioning Giants defense. Prescott's career track record against New York features 31 touchdown passes and a 101.5 passer rating across 17 starts. Whether managing a competitive contest or building an early lead, Dallas' primary offensive identity flows through the air.
New York Giants Player Props
Jaxson Dart: LOWER Passing Yards
Prop Total: 199.5 yards
Confidence: 70%
QBs you need to START and SIT for Week 1 of Fantasy Football:
— Marc Gartenberg (@GBERGFF) September 11, 2026
Let's get into it.
With our first START...
Jaxson Dart. ⬇️ https://t.co/Ej6vRBgEhK pic.twitter.com/8RTGb0Zpwq
The Giants' offensive philosophy centers on under-center sets, multiple tight ends, play-action, and establishing a physical ground attack. While Dart can operate efficiently within this framework, it caps his passing volume. Facing an imposing Cowboys interior defensive front featuring Quinnen Williams presents a challenge for sustaining long, drop-back-heavy drives.
Cam Skattebo: HIGHER Rushing Yards
Prop Total: 49.5 yards
Confidence: 65%
Cam Skattebo said John Harbaugh asked him whether he was ready for 20+ carries per game, via @micnuggetsnfl:
— Underdog NFL (@UnderdogNFL) September 4, 2026
"When he walks up to me and tells me, ‘Are you ready for 20-plus carries a game?’ I think I'm in a pretty good spot."https://t.co/gDevKnQmhh pic.twitter.com/pJRNJcbAow
Slated as the starting back, Skattebo fits directly into New York's emphasis on physical, run-first football. The key to clearing a line in the 50s lies in the early-down usage. Provided New York maintains a manageable game script through the first half, his initial workload should yield sufficient yardage before any potential transition to the Giants having to pass late in the game.
Isaiah Likely: HIGHER Receiving Yards
Prop Total: 39.5 yards
Confidence: 75%
TE Isaiah Likely was “far and away” Jaxson Dart’s favorite target in 11-on-11s, per @DDuggan21
— SleeperNFL (@SleeperNFL) August 28, 2026
44 - Isaiah Likely
18 - Darnell Mooney
17 - Calvin Austin (injured)
17 - Theo Johnson
15 - Malachi Fields pic.twitter.com/IYiiHDp3br
With Malik Nabers potentially on a snap count returning from an ACL injury and turnover across the receiving corps, Likely could easily end up operating as the de facto primary or secondary option in the passing game. New York's new system relies heavily on tight end usage and high-percentage short-to-intermediate throws. Given his target trajectory in this new-look offense, a modest threshold in the upper-30s or low-40s gives Likely a high floor. A couple of intermediate seam routes or run-after-catch plays can push him over the total.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
If someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Daniel Outerbridge covers the NBA, NFL, WNBA, and MLB with an emphasis on the numbers behind the game. His work breaks down player performance, team strategy, and emerging statistical trends to provide actionable insights for fans and fantasy players. Outerbridge has written for a myriad of other outlets including Anubis Sports and FanSided.