No. 12 Alabama vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Picks and Odds
The Alabama Crimson Tide was able to win its first SEC matchup of the season with a victory over the Ole Miss Rebels this past weekend, and now faces another SEC opponent from the same state, the Mississippi State Bulldogs, this Saturday. Can Nick Saban’s squad build on that momentum for a crucial road win this weekend?
That’s what our No. 12 Alabama vs. Mississippi State prediction is here to answer, along with providing the details for a $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook welcome offer that can be claimed using any No. 12 Alabama vs. Mississippi State picks.
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ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE VS. MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS PREDICTION: Under 46.5 (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
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No. 12 Alabama vs. Mississippi State Prediction
There have been plenty of rumblings about the Crimson Tide not seeming as dominant this season, and even seeing Alabama ranked outside the top 10 is a rare occurrence. Regardless, it was able to bounce back from an early loss with an SEC West victory, and we expect it to do the same this weekend.
Much of the criticism has surrounded the quarterback position, but outside of a red-zone turnover, Jalen Milroe had an excellent game, going 17-for-21 for 225 yards and a touchdown alongside 16 rushes. The offense may not be as explosive this year, but that actually helps us make our best No. 12 Alabama vs. Mississippi State prediction on a low-scoring game, and let’s explain why.
No. 12 Alabama vs. Mississippi State Free Picks and Best Bets
While we’re expecting a Crimson Tide win, we don’t want that to be the focus of our No. 12 Alabama vs. Mississippi State picks, as the point spread is sitting at 14.5 points, just over that key number of 14. Instead, we’ll slightly lean into ‘Bama being on the road with an offense not as dynamic without Bryce Young.
Alabama is a ridiculous 87-17-3 against the Bulldogs and has won each of the last 10 meetings. However, it hasn't needed many points to get those victories. In fact, last year’s matchup saw just 36 points scored, and that was with Young under center.
To build upon that, the Crimson Tide’s defense has absolutely dominated the Bulldogs offense. That’s actually quite an understatement, as Mississippi State has scored more than 10 points against ‘Bama just once in the last eight meetings, and just twice in the last 15 matchups. That includes two complete shutouts.
Along with the Tide averaging just 21.7 points in their last three games, our best No. 12 Alabama vs. Mississippi State prediction is under 46.5 points (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
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No. 12 Alabama vs. Mississippi State Odds and Betting Lines via BetMGM Sportsbook for Saturday, September 30th, 2023
In terms of our No. 12 Alabama vs. Mississippi State prediction on the under 46.5 points, that has -110 odds at BetMGM Sportsbook, so an $11 wager profits $10 as long as the game ends with 46 or fewer points scored. Each of the standard markets are listed for you below:
Point spread:
- Alabama Crimson Tide -14.5 (-110) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs +14.5 (-110)
Money line:
- Alabama Crimson Tide (-650) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (+450)
Total (over/under):
- Over 46.5 (-110) vs. Under 46.5 (-110)
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