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Boise State still has a massive edge in the College Football Playoff race

The Broncos remain in a favorable position entering their Week 4 trip to Western Michigan
Boise State's Akeem Wright.
Boise State's Akeem Wright. | Boise State Athletics

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Boise State’s close call against FCS South Dakota last weekend shook the confidence of voters in the AP Poll and Coaches Poll.

Despite the poor showing, the Broncos’ (2-1, 0-0 Pac-12) College Football Playoff odds didn’t budge. 

As of Wednesday morning, DraftKings Sportsbook lists Boise State at +230 to make the CFP—the same odds as last week. The Broncos were +450 ahead of their Week 1 game at Oregon and dipped to +350 after suffering a competitive 34-27 loss on the road. 

Boise State has the 16th-best odds nationally to make the CFP, coming in behind Notre Dame (-1000), Miami (-700), Texas (-400), Georgia (-400), Indiana (-380), Ohio State (-290), Texas Tech (-140), Ole Miss (-130), LSU (+110), Alabama (+136), USC (+190), Penn State (+190), Oregon (+190), Tennessee (+205) and Florida (+230). 

The Broncos remain the overwhelming favorite to represent the Group of Six in the CFP. The highest-ranked Group of Six champion receives an automatic bid to the 12-team CFP. 

To stay on top of the Group of Six CFP odds list, the Broncos need to go on the road and secure a victory at Western Michigan (2-1, 0-0 MAC) this weekend. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:30 p.m. Mountain time in Kalamazoo. 

Western Michigan, the reigning MAC champion, opened the season with a controversial loss to Michigan and rallied back with consecutive victories. Western Michigan is +2500 to make the CFP in the latest DraftKings odds. 

Reigning Sun Belt champion James Madison (3-0, 0-0) and Mountain West newcomer North Dakota State (4-0, 1-0) are Boise State’s top Group of Six competition for a CFP bid. Both programs sit at +600 to reach the CFP. 

James Madison’s toughest remaining game on paper will be at Appalachian State (3-0, 0-0) on Oct. 22. The Mountaineers are +6500 to make the CFP. 

North Dakota State will need to get through New Mexico (2-1, 0-0) on Oct. 24 in Albuquerque. The Lobos are still in the CFP picture at +1100 odds. 

Five American Conference teams are also in the hunt for the Group of Six CFP spot: UTSA (+1000), Memphis (+1200), South Florida (+1300), Tulsa (+2000) and Army (+2200).

DraftKings lists CFP odds for seven Pac-12 teams: Boise State, Fresno State (+5000), Texas State (+6000), Oregon State (+10000), Colorado State (+10000), San Diego State (+12000) and Washington State (+25000).

Boise State is a heavy -125 favorite to win the Pac-12 in the DraftKings odds, followed by San Diego State (+600), Texas State (+700), Fresno State (+900) and Oregon State (+1000). 

• Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

• If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Bob Lundeberg
BOB LUNDEBERG

Bob Lundeberg is a reporter for Boise State Broncos On SI. An Oregon State graduate, Bob has lived in Idaho since 2019 and is an avid hiker and golfer.

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