With spring football in full swing, the projections for next year are coming in from all corners of the media. ESPN has their FPI system that they describe as "a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule." Earlier this week, the system put out their first rankings for the 2021 season.
For Boston College the FPI is usually very conservative. Last season, with their original schedule the FPI had BC going 5-7. This year, it's a little different with the calculations having BC as the 54th best team in the country, and projecting anywhere between 5.3 and 6.7 wins in 2021.
The FPI also gives the team a score, BC landed a 4.4 on the scale. This scale means "Football Power Index that measures team's true strength on net points scale; expected point margin vs average opponent on neutral field." Last year BC finished 54th in the country, with a 2.9 score (somehow they were several spots behind 4-7 Louisville, a team that BC beat).
Here are Boston College's opponents and where they fall on the FPI ranking system.
|Opponent||FPI Rating||FPI Rank|
Some surprises on here just looking at the numbers. Florida State is a borderline Top 25 team according to the system, which caught me off guard as they were a team in really rough shape in 2020.
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