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Tale of the Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. Syracuse

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Orange for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:
Tale of the Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. Syracuse
Tale of the Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. Syracuse

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (11-11, 5-7 ACC) is set to face Syracuse (11-11, 5-6 ACC) on Saturday, Feb. 5 at 2:00 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Orange:

- Rankings:

SyracuseLouisville

AP/USA TODAY

NR/NR

NR/NR

NET

91st

118th

RPI

105th

136th

SOS

37th

71st

KenPom

77th

119th

Sagarin

63rd

100th

Torvik

66th

112th

- Team Leaders:

SyracuseLouisville

Points

Buddy Boeheim (19.3)

Malik Williams (10.0)

Rebounds

Cole Swider (6.9)

Malik Williams (8.7)

Assists

Joseph Girard III (4.5)

Mason Faulkner (3.0)

Steals

Joseph Girard III (1.7)

Jarrod West (1.4)

Blocks

Jesse Edwards (2.9)

Malik Williams (0.7)

- Scoring:

SyracuseLouisville

Points Per Game

77.8

69.0

Field Goal %

45.7%

42.1%

FGM/FGA Per Game

27.7/60.7

24.7/58.6

Three Point %

37.0%

32.9%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

8.7/19.0

8.2/25.0

Free Throw %

71.8%

68.5%

- Rebounding:

SyracuseLouisville

Rebounds Per Game

36.1

37.8

Off. Reb. Per Game

11.0

9.7

Def. Reb. Per Game

25.1

28.1

Rebound Margin

-0.5

+1.6

- Defense:

SyracuseLouisville

Opp. Points Per Game

75.5

69.0

Opp. FG%

43.2%

41.7%

Opp. 3PT%

34.8%

33.3%

Steals Per Game

7.5

6.0

Blocks Per Game

4.0

2.5

- Ball Handling:

SyracuseLouisville

Assists Per Game

15.0

12.5

Turnovers Per Game

11.3

12.4

Turnover Margin

1.4

-1.0

Assist/Turnover Ratio

1.3

1.0

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 25.1 percent chance to win against Syracuse.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 26 percent chance to take down the Orange, with a projected final score of 77-70 in favor of Syracuse. Per current metrics, Cuse is the second-lowest ranked opponent that Louisville will face for the remainder of the season (Virginia).

- Personal Prediction: Syracuse 79, Louisville 75.

(Photo of Sydney Curry, Jarrod West: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)

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Matthew McGavic
MATTHEW MCGAVIC

McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. Also an avid video gamer, a bourbon enthusiast, and fierce dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic