Tale of the Tape, Prediction: Louisville vs. Syracuse

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (11-11, 5-7 ACC) is set to face Syracuse (11-11, 5-6 ACC) on Saturday, Feb. 5 at 2:00 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Orange:
- Rankings:
| Syracuse | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | NR/NR | NR/NR |
NET | 91st | 118th |
RPI | 105th | 136th |
SOS | 37th | 71st |
KenPom | 77th | 119th |
Sagarin | 63rd | 100th |
Torvik | 66th | 112th |
- Team Leaders:
| Syracuse | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Buddy Boeheim (19.3) | Malik Williams (10.0) |
Rebounds | Cole Swider (6.9) | Malik Williams (8.7) |
Assists | Joseph Girard III (4.5) | Mason Faulkner (3.0) |
Steals | Joseph Girard III (1.7) | Jarrod West (1.4) |
Blocks | Jesse Edwards (2.9) | Malik Williams (0.7) |
- Scoring:
| Syracuse | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 77.8 | 69.0 |
Field Goal % | 45.7% | 42.1% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 27.7/60.7 | 24.7/58.6 |
Three Point % | 37.0% | 32.9% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 8.7/19.0 | 8.2/25.0 |
Free Throw % | 71.8% | 68.5% |
- Rebounding:
| Syracuse | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 36.1 | 37.8 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 11.0 | 9.7 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 25.1 | 28.1 |
Rebound Margin | -0.5 | +1.6 |
- Defense:
| Syracuse | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 75.5 | 69.0 |
Opp. FG% | 43.2% | 41.7% |
Opp. 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.3% |
Steals Per Game | 7.5 | 6.0 |
Blocks Per Game | 4.0 | 2.5 |
- Ball Handling:
| Syracuse | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 15.0 | 12.5 |
Turnovers Per Game | 11.3 | 12.4 |
Turnover Margin | 1.4 | -1.0 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.3 | 1.0 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 25.1 percent chance to win against Syracuse.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 26 percent chance to take down the Orange, with a projected final score of 77-70 in favor of Syracuse. Per current metrics, Cuse is the second-lowest ranked opponent that Louisville will face for the remainder of the season (Virginia).
- Personal Prediction: Syracuse 79, Louisville 75.
(Photo of Sydney Curry, Jarrod West: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)
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McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. Also an avid video gamer, a bourbon enthusiast, and fierce dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic