Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Florida A&M

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (1-9, 0-2 ACC) is set to face Florida A&M (2-6, 0-0 SWAC) on Saturday, Dec. 17 at 2:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Rattlers:
- Rankings:
| Florida A-M | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | NR/NR | NR/NR |
NET | 358th | 347th |
RPI | 309th | 294th |
SOS | 81st | 88th |
BPI | 360th | 304th |
KenPom | 359th | 227th |
Torvik | 362nd | 281st |
Sagarin | 349th | 218th |
- Team Leaders:
| Florida A-M | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Two Tied (9.1) | El Ellis (17.0) |
Rebounds | Jaylen Bates (7.1) | Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (5.7) |
Assists | Byron Smith (2.0) | El Ellis (4.1) |
Steals | Hantz Louis-Jeune (1.4) | Jae'Lyn Withers (1.0) |
Blocks | Chase Barrs (1.1) | Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.7) |
- Scoring:
| Florida A-M | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 54.9 | 60.6 |
Field Goal % | 35.5% | 39.0% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 19.8/55.6 | 20.6/52.8 |
Three Point % | 26.8% | 31.8% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 4.3/15.9 | 6.2/19.5 |
Free Throw | 64.5% | 75.0% |
- Rebounding:
| Florida A-M | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 34.6 | 31.9 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 11.8 | 7.9 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 22.9 | 24.0 |
Rebound Margin | -4.9 | -3.0 |
- Defense:
| Florida A-M | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 75.0 | 74.9 |
Opp. FG% | 45.9% | 47.9% |
Opp. 3P% | 35.7% | 34.1% |
Steals Per Game | 7.4 | 4.8 |
Blocks Per Game | 3.5 | 2.4 |
- Ball Handling:
| Florida A-M | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 8.6 | 8.9 |
Turnovers Per Game | 18.3 | 16.6 |
Turnover Margin | -4.0 | -4.3 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 0.5 | 0.5 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 90.2 percent chance to win against Florida A&M.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 93 percent chance to take down the Rattlers, with a projected final score of 73-57 in favor of Louisville. By current metrics, FAMU is the worst team that Louisville will face all season, and fifth-worst in all of D1.
- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 93 percent chance to take down the Rattlers, with a projected final score of 70-56 in favor of Louisville. By current metrics, FAMU is the worst team that Louisville will face all season, and second-worst in all of D1.
- Personal Prediction: Louisville 75, Florida A&M 51.
(Photo of El Ellis: Matt Stone - The Louisville Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK)
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McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. Also an avid video gamer, a bourbon enthusiast, and fierce dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic