Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Virginia

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (3-22, 1-13 ACC) is set to face Virginia (19-4, 11-3 ACC) on Wednesday, Feb. 15 at 7:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers:
- Rankings:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | 7th/6th | NR/NR |
NET | 13th | 331st |
RPI | 7th | 310th |
SOS | 26th | 85th |
BPI | 11th | 308th |
KenPom | 14th | 295th |
Torvik | 16th | 295th |
Sagarin | 16th | 228th |
- Team Leaders:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Armaan Franklin (12.7) | El Ellis (17.4) |
Rebounds | Jayden Gardner (5.0) | Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (6.0) |
Assists | Kihei Clark (5.9) | El Ellis (4.8) |
Steals | Reece Beekman (1.4) | El Ellis (1.0) |
Blocks | Kadin Shedrick (1.4) | Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.8) |
- Scoring:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 70.0 | 64.0 |
Field Goal % | 45.9% | 41.7% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 24.3/53.0 | 22.2/53.3 |
Three Point % | 37.7% | 33.5% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 7.5/19.8 | 6.6/19.8 |
Free Throw % | 70.8% | 72.5% |
- Rebounding:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 32.1 | 32.3 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 8.1 | 9.2 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 24.0 | 23.1 |
Rebound Margin | 0.3 | -1.5 |
- Defense:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 60.4 | 76.1 |
Opp. FG% | 41.4% | 47.3% |
Opp. 3PT% | 34.2% | 35.9% |
Steals Per Game | 6.8 | 4.8 |
Blocks Per Game | 4.4 | 2.7 |
- Ball Handling:
| Virginia | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 16.3 | 9.5 |
Turnovers Per Game | 9.1 | 15.8 |
Turnover Margin | 3.7 | -4.5 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.8 | 0.6 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 3.2 percent chance to win against Virginia.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 7 percent chance to take down the Cavaliers, with a projected final score of 74-58 in favor of Virginia.
- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 6 percent chance to take down the Cavaliers, with a projected final score of 72-57 in favor of Virginia.
- Personal Prediction: Virginia 77, Louisville 64.
(Photo of J.J. Traynor, Jayden Gardner: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)
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McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. Also an avid video gamer, a bourbon enthusiast, and fierce dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic