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Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Virginia

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers for their Wednesday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:
Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Virginia
Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Virginia

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (3-22, 1-13 ACC) is set to face Virginia (19-4, 11-3 ACC) on Wednesday, Feb. 15 at 7:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers:

- Rankings:

VirginiaLouisville

AP/USA TODAY

7th/6th

NR/NR

NET

13th

331st

RPI

7th

310th

SOS

26th

85th

BPI

11th

308th

KenPom

14th

295th

Torvik

16th

295th

Sagarin

16th

228th

- Team Leaders:

VirginiaLouisville

Points

Armaan Franklin (12.7)

El Ellis (17.4)

Rebounds

Jayden Gardner (5.0)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (6.0)

Assists

Kihei Clark (5.9)

El Ellis (4.8)

Steals

Reece Beekman (1.4)

El Ellis (1.0)

Blocks

Kadin Shedrick (1.4)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.8)

- Scoring:

VirginiaLouisville

Points Per Game

70.0

64.0

Field Goal %

45.9%

41.7%

FGM/FGA Per Game

24.3/53.0

22.2/53.3

Three Point %

37.7%

33.5%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

7.5/19.8

6.6/19.8

Free Throw %

70.8%

72.5%

- Rebounding:

VirginiaLouisville

Rebounds Per Game

32.1

32.3

Off. Reb. Per Game

8.1

9.2

Def. Reb. Per Game

24.0

23.1

Rebound Margin

0.3

-1.5

- Defense:

VirginiaLouisville

Opp. Points Per Game

60.4

76.1

Opp. FG%

41.4%

47.3%

Opp. 3PT%

34.2%

35.9%

Steals Per Game

6.8

4.8

Blocks Per Game

4.4

2.7

- Ball Handling:

VirginiaLouisville

Assists Per Game

16.3

9.5

Turnovers Per Game

9.1

15.8

Turnover Margin

3.7

-4.5

Assist/Turnover Ratio

1.8

0.6

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 3.2 percent chance to win against Virginia.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 7 percent chance to take down the Cavaliers, with a projected final score of 74-58 in favor of Virginia.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 6 percent chance to take down the Cavaliers, with a projected final score of 72-57 in favor of Virginia.

- Personal Prediction: Virginia 77, Louisville 64.

(Photo of J.J. Traynor, Jayden Gardner: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)

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Matthew McGavic
MATTHEW MCGAVIC

McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. Also an avid video gamer, a bourbon enthusiast, and fierce dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic