Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Georgia Tech

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LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (19-7, 8-5 ACC) is set to face Georgia Tech (11-16, 2-12 ACC) on Saturday, Feb. 21 at 2:15 p.m. EST from the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Yellow Jackets:
*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*
Rankings
Georgia Tech | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USAT | NR/NR | 21st/21st |
SOS | 84th | 34th |
SOR | 173rd | 25th |
NET | 169th | 14th |
RPI | 222nd | 24th |
BPI | 140th | 10th |
KenPom | 164th | 15th |
Torvik | 170th | 15th |
EvanMiya | 164th | 17th |
Team Leaders
Georgia Tech | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Kowacie Reeves Jr. (15.1) | Mikel Brown Jr. (18.6) |
Rebounds | Baye Ndongo (8.3) | Sananda Fru (6.6) |
Assists | Lamar Washington (5.2) | Mikel Brown Jr. (5.1) |
Steals | Lamar Washington (1.4) | Mikel Brown Jr. (1.2) |
Blocks | Mouhamed Sylia (1.2) | Sananda Fru (1.4) |
Scoring
Georgia Tech | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 74.3 | 86.8 |
Field Goal % | 44.4 | 47.2 |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 26.7/60.1 | 29.2/61.8 |
Three Point % | 36.2 | 35.8 |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 6.9/19.1 | 11.7/32.7 |
Free Throw % | 69.6 | 77.3 |
FTM/FTA Per Game | 13.9/20.0 | 16.7/21.7 |
Rebounding
Georgia Tech | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 37.7 | 39.8 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 10.8 | 11.8 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 26.9 | 28.0 |
Rebound Margin | 1.0 | 6.2 |
Defense
Georgia Tech | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 77.0 | 71.8 |
Opp. FG% | 42.1 | 41.0 |
Opp. 3PT% | 33.2 | 32.8 |
Steals Per Game | 6.2 | 7.0 |
Blocks Per Game | 4.1 | 3.4 |
Turnovers Forced Per Game | 11.1 | 12.1 |
Ball Handling
Georgia Tech | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 16.0 | 17.9 |
Turnovers Per Game | 13.3 | 11.8 |
Turnover Margin | -2.2 | 0.3 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.21 | 1.52 |
Predictions
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, the Cardinals have a 97.6 percent chance to win against the Yellow Jackets. Louisville has a BPI rating of 20.2 (10th overall), whereas Georgia Tech has a BPI rating of 1.5 (140th overall).
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 98 percent chance to take down the Yellow Jackets, with a projected final score of 92-69 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +26.87 (15th overall), whereas Georgia Tech has an adjusted efficiency margin of -0.06 (164th overall).
- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 97 percent chance to take down the Jackets, with a projected final score of 95-69 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9446 (15th overall), whereas Georgia Tech has a "Barthag" of .4923 (170th overall).
- Personal Prediction: Louisville 93, Georgia Tech 71.
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McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. He is also a co-host of the 'From The Pink Seats' podcast on the State of Louisville network. Video gamer, bourbon drinker and dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic