Tale of The Tape & Prediction: Louisville vs. Boston College
(Photo of Jalen Mitchell: Atlantic Coast Conference Pool)
Louisville (3-6, 2-6 ACC) is set to face Boston College (5-4, 4-4 ACC) on Saturday, Nov. 28 at 4:00 p.m. EST at Alumni Stadium in Chestnut Hill, Mass. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Eagles:
- Rankings:
| Boston College | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Associated Press Top 25 | NR | NR |
USA Today Coaches Poll | NR | NR |
SOS | 52nd | 68th |
SP+ | 65th | 31st |
FPI | 53rd | 43rd |
- Offensive Statistics
| Boston College | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Offense | 89th (366.3) | 38th (437.6) |
Passing Yards | 42nd (262.1) | 55th (243.4) |
Yards Per Completion | 69th (12.35) | 40th (13.20) |
Rushing Yards | 116th (104.2) | 39th (194.1) |
First Downs Gained | 18th (196) | 21st (188) |
3rd Down Con. % | 33rd (45.5%) | 53rd (42.7%) |
4th Down Con. % | 120th (80.0%) | 57th (57.1%) |
Red Zone Con. % | 50th (85.4%) | 35th (88.6%) |
Turnovers Lost | 75th (10) | 126th (21) |
Interceptions Thrown | 68th (5) | 119th (11) |
Fumbles Lost | 85th (5) | 124th (10) |
Tackles For Loss Allowed | 88th (6.89) | 121st (8.67) |
Sacks Allowed | 89th (2.67) | 98th (2.89) |
Avg. Time of Possession | 39th (31:22) | 47th (31:11) |
Key: National Rank out of 127 Active FBS Teams (Value)
- Defensive Statistics
| Boston College | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Defense | 54th (393.4) | 37th (363.8) |
Passing Yards Allowed | 63rd (235.2) | 9th (178.9) |
Rushing Yards Allowed | 58th (158.2) | 87th (184.9) |
3rd Down Defensive % | 55th (39.3%) | 64th (40.3%) |
4th Down Defensive % | 120th (80.0%) | 16th (31.2%) |
First Downs Allowed | 117th (199) | 90th (162) |
Red Zone Defensive % | 51st (81.8%) | 51st (81.8%) |
Turnovers Gained | 3rd (17) | 61st (9) |
Interceptions Caught | 32nd (7) | 62nd (4) |
Fumbles Recovered | 2nd (10) | 31st (5) |
Sacks Per Game | 53rd (2.44) | 57th (2.33) |
TFL Per Game | 93rd (5.2) | 53rd (6.3) |
Defensive Touchdowns | 12th (2) | N/A |
Key: National Rank out of 127 Active FBS Teams (Value)
- Special Teams Statistics
| Boston College | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Net Punting | 53rd (39.14) | 103rd (35.94) |
Avg. Kickoff Return | 105th (16.71) | 67th (19.83) |
Avg. Punt Return | 100th (3.80) | 109th (3.14) |
Blocked Kicks | N/A | 24th (1) |
Blocked Kicks Allowed | 68th (1) | 68th (1) |
Blocked Punts | N/A | N/A |
Blocked Punts Allowed | 1st (0) | 97th (1) |
Field Goal Attempts | 15-19 | 10-12 |
PAT | 25-26 | 31-31 |
Key: National Rank out of 127 Active FBS Teams (Value)
- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, Louisville has a 47.5% chance to win against Boston College. Louisville has an FPI rating of 5.5 (43rd overall) and Boston College's FPI of 3.7 is the lowest out of the Cardinals' remaining 2020 opponents.
- SP+ Prediction:
Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have an 62.02% chance to take down the Eagles. According to SP+ ratings, Louisville is favored in both of their remaining games of the season.
- Personal Prediction: Louisville 28, Syracuse 17
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