Tale of The Tape & Prediction: Louisville vs. Wake Forest
(Photo of Malik Cunningham: Atlantic Coast Conference Pool)
Louisville (3-7, 2-7 ACC) is set to face Wake Forest (4-3, 3-3 ACC) on Saturday, Dec. 12 at 12:00 p.m. EST at Cardinal Stadium in Louisville, Ky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Demon Deacons:
- Rankings:
| Wake Forest | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Associated Press Top 25 | NR | NR |
USA TODAY Coaches Poll | NR | NR |
SOS | 84th | 56th |
SP+ | 67th | 30th |
FPI | 34th | 45th |
- Offensive Statistics:
| Wake Forest | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Offense | 25th (447.3) | 27th (443.3) |
Passing Yards | 32nd (271.7) | 46th (248.7) |
Yards Per Completion | 17th (14.19) | 31st (13.44) |
Rushing Yards | 57th (175.6) | 36th (194.6) |
First Downs Gained | 56th (167) | 27th (211) |
3rd Down Con. % | 68th (40.4%) | 40th (44.2%) |
4th Down Con. % | 69th (53.3%) | 49th (59.1%) |
Red Zone Con. % | 8th (94.4%) | 27th (89.7%) |
Turnovers Lost | 1st (1) | 126th (24) |
Interceptions Thrown | 1st (0) | 119th (12) |
Fumbles Lost | 3rd (1) | 125th (12) |
Tackles For Loss Allowed | 117th (8.14) | 120th (8.30) |
Sacks Allowed | 118th (3.57) | 100th (2.80) |
Avg. Time of Possession | 89th (28:48) | 45th (30:58) |
Key: National Rank out of 127 Active FBS Teams (Value)
- Defensive Statistics:
| Wake Forest | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Defense | 108th (457.4) | 46th (370.9) |
Passing Yards Allowed | 113th (275.4) | 18th (185.7) |
Rushing Yards Allowed | 84th (182.0) | 88th (185.2) |
3rd Down Defensive % | 80th (42.0%) | 61st (39.7%) |
4th Down Defensive % | 110th (71.4%) | 19th (38.9%) |
First Downs Allowed | 79th (171) | 85th (183) |
Red Zone Defensive % | 59th (83.3%) | 54th (82.1%) |
Turnovers Gained | 21st (16) | 71st (10) |
Interceptions Caught | 9th (12) | 77th (4) |
Fumbles Recovered | 69th (4) | 31st (6) |
Sacks Per Game | 64th (2.14) | 71st (2.10) |
TFL Per Game | 43rd (6.7) | 73rd (5.9) |
Defensive Touchdowns | 3rd (3) | N/A |
Key: National Rank out of 127 Active FBS Teams (Value)
- Special Teams Statistics:
| Wake Forest | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Net Punting | 75th (38.13) | 104th (35.76) |
Avg. Kickoff Return | 1st (34.00) | 54th (20.26) |
Avg. Punt Return | 41st (9.67) | 113th (3.14) |
Blocked Kicks | N/A | 30th (1) |
Blocked Kicks Allowed | 62nd (1) | 62nd (1) |
Blocked Punts | N/A | N/A |
Blocked Punts Allowed | 1st (0) | 91st (1) |
Field Goal Attempts | 12-15 | 12-14 |
PAT | 33-33 | 34-34 |
Key: National Rank out of 127 Active FBS Teams (Value)
- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, Louisville has a 48.9% chance to win against Wake Forest. Louisville has an FPI rating of 5.3 and Wake Forest's FPI of 6.9 is the fourth-highest out of the Cardinals' 2020 opponents.
- SP+ Prediction:
Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have a 72.18% chance to take down the Demon Deacons. According to SP+ ratings, Wake Forest has the sixth-lowest rating of any Louisville opponents this season.
- Personal Prediction: Wake Forest 31, Louisville 28.
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