Tale of the Tape & Prediction: Louisville vs. Virginia Tech
Louisville (2-4, 1-4 ACC) is set to face Virginia Tech (3-2, 3-2 ACC) on Saturday, Oct. 31 at 4:00 p.m. EST. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Hokies:
- Rankings:
| Virginia Tech | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Associated Press Top 25 | NR | NR |
USA TODAT Coaches Poll | RV | NR |
SOS | 26th | 37th |
SP+ | 21st | 39th |
FPI | 19th | 40th |
- Offensive Statistics:
| Virginia Tech | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Offense | 21st (474.2) | 43rd (416.5) |
Passing Yards | 80th (182.6) | 49th (233.5) |
Yards Per Completion | 14th (14.49) | 32nd (13.22) |
Rushing Yards | 4th (291.6) | 35th (183.0) |
First Downs Gained | 24th (123) | 27th (121) |
3rd Down Con. % | 77th (36.5%) | 53rd (40.8%) |
4th Down Con. % | 15th (80.0%) | 42nd (61.5%) |
Red Zone Con. % | 62nd (81.8%) | 18th (95.5%) |
Turnovers Lost | 47th (6) | 94th (12) |
Interceptions Thrown | 57th (4) | 74th (5) |
Fumbles Lost | 40th (2) | 97th (7) |
Tackles For Loss Allowed | 21st (4.80) | 93rd (8.83) |
Sacks Allowed | 34th (1.80) | 63rd (2.50) |
Avg. Time of Possession | 36th (31:16) | 49th (30:15) |
Key: National Rank out of 101 Active FBS Teams (Value)
- Defensive Statistics:
| Virginia Tech | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Defense | 74th (448.2) | 44th (383.8) |
Passing Yards Allowed | 61st (247.6) | 30th (196.5) |
Rushing Yards Allowed | 78th (200.6) | 68th (187.3) |
3rd Down Defensive % | 46th (38.9%) | 72nd (44.9%) |
4th Down Defensive % | 83rd (76.9%) | 15th (33.3%) |
First Downs Allowed | 69th (111) | 72nd (113) |
Red Zone Defensive % | 55th (84.2%) | 21st (75.0%) |
Turnovers Gained | 29th (8) | 65th (4) |
Interceptions Caught | 25th (5) | 60th (2) |
Fumbles Recovered | 28th (3) | 48th (2) |
Sacks Per Game | 7th (3.60) | 50th (2.33) |
TFL Per Game | 25th (7.40) | 31st (7.0) |
Defensive Touchdowns | N/A | N/A |
Key: National Rank out of 101 Active FBS Teams (Value)
- Special Teams Statistics:
| Virginia Tech | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Net Punting | 36th (40.37) | 83rd (34.67) |
Avg. Kickoff Return | 9th (30.25) | 52nd (19.75) |
Avg. Punt Return | 86th (0.25) | 71st (3.75) |
Blocked Kicks | N/A | 15th (1) |
Blocked Kicks Allowed | 1st (0) | 62nd (1) |
Blocked Punts | N/A | N/A |
Blocked Punts Allowed | 1st (0) | 82nd (1) |
Field Goal Percentage | 10-13 | 6-8 |
PAT Percentage | 18-18 | 21-21 |
Key: National Rank out of 101 Active FBS Teams (Value)
- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have a 39.0% chance to win against Virginia Tech. Louisville has an FPI rank of 6.7 (40th overall) and Virginia Tech's FPI of 12.2 is the highest out of the Cardinals' remaining 2020 opponents.
- SP+ Prediction:
Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have a 42.30% chance to take down the Seminoles. According to SP+ ratings, Louisville is favored in four of the remaining five games of the season.
- Personal Prediction: Louisville 31, Virginia Tech 21.
(Photo of Javian Hawkins: Atlantic Coast Conference)
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