Tale of the Tape & Prediction: Louisville vs. Syracuse
(Photo of Marlon Character: Geoff Burke/USA TODAY Sports)
Louisville (2-6, 1-6 ACC) is set to face Syracuse (1-7, 1-6 ACC) on Friday, Nov. 20 at 7:00 p.m. EST at Cardinal Stadium. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Orange:
- Rankings:
| Syracuse | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Associated Press Top 25 | NR | NR |
USA TODAY Coaches Poll | NR | NR |
SOS | 21st | 39th |
SP+ | 106th | 38th |
FPI | 94th | 46th |
- Offensive Statistics:
| Syracuse | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Offense | 123rd (263.8) | 38th (440.6) |
Passing Yards | 106th (177.8) | 59th (239.0) |
Yards Per Completion | 87th (11.29) | 34th (13.46) |
Rushing Yards | 120th (86.0) | 33rd (201.6) |
First Downs Gained | 70th (107) | 28th (162) |
3rd Down Con. % | 122nd (23.9%) | 60th (41.6%) |
4th Down Con. % | 118th (30.8%) | 15th (35.7%) |
Red Zone Con. % | 121st (64.7%) | 33rd (89.7%) |
Turnovers Lost | 111th (14) | 123rd (18) |
Interceptions Thrown | 117th (10) | 109th (9) |
Fumbles Lost | 73rd (4) | 121st (9) |
Tackles For Loss Allowed | 115th (8.25) | 115th (8.25) |
Sacks Allowed | 118th (4.00) | 92nd (2.75) |
Avg. Time of Possession | 123rd (24:36) | 64th (29:51) |
Key: National Rank out of 126 Active FBS Teams (Value)
- Defensive Statistics:
| Syracuse | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Defense | 103rd (464.3) | 52nd (392.1) |
Passing Yards Allowed | 70th (240.8) | 28th (195.6) |
Rushing Yards Allowed | 110th (223.5) | 95th (196.5) |
3rd Down Defensive % | 96th (45.7%) | 86th (43.1%) |
4th Down Defensive % | 78th (61.5%) | 15th (35.7%) |
First Downs Allowed | 124th (203) | 92nd (155) |
Red Zone Defensive % | 32nd (78.4%) | 51st (81.8%) |
Turnovers Gained | 2nd (17) | 75th (6) |
Interceptions Caught | 11th (9) | 68th (3) |
Fumbles Recovered | 3rd (8) | 61st (3) |
Sacks Per Game | 89th (1.63) | 55th (2.25) |
TFL Per Game | 94th (5.0) | 48th (6.6) |
Defensive Touchdowns | 2nd (3) | N/A |
Key: National Rank out of 126 Active FBS Teams (Value)
- Special Teams Statistics:
| Syracuse | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Net Punting | 16th (41.85) | 107th (35.24) |
Avg. Kickoff Return | 38th (21.87) | 61st (20.00) |
Avg. Punt Return | 18th (13.17) | 95th (3.75) |
Blocked Kicks | 9th (2) | 22nd (1) |
Blocked Kicks Allowed | 72nd (1) | 72nd (1) |
Blocked Punts | 10th (1) | N/A |
Blocked Punts Allowed | 1st (0) | 100th (1) |
Field Goal Attempts | 7-9 | 7-9 |
PAT | 17-18 | 28-28 |
Key: National Rank out of 126 Active FBS Teams (Value)
- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have a 83.8% chance to win against Syracuse. Louisville has an FPI rank of 4.8 (46th overall) and Syracuse's FPI of -7.8 is the lowest out of the Cardinals' remaining 2020 opponents.
- SP+ Prediction:
Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have an 86.56% chance to take down the Orange. According to SP+ ratings, Louisville is favored in every one of their three remaining games of the season.
- Personal Prediction: Louisville 28, Syracuse 17
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