Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Eastern Kentucky

Louisville (0-1, 0-0 ACC) is set to host Eastern Kentucky (1-0, 0-0 ASUN) on Saturday, Sept. 11 at 7:00 p.m. EST at Cardinal Stadium in Louisville, Ky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Colonels:
- Rankings:
| Eastern Kentucky | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Associated Press Top 25 | NR | NR |
USA TODAY Coaches Poll | NR | NR |
SOS | N/A | 13th |
SP+ | N/A | 74th |
FPI | N/A | 68th |
- Offensive Statistics:
| Eastern Kentucky | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Offense | 53rd (361.0) | 85th (355.0) |
Passing Yards | 38th (238.0) | 76th (200.0) |
Yards Per Completion | 52nd (11.90) | 110th (8.70) |
Rushing Yards | 53rd (123.0) | 66th (155.0) |
First Downs Gained | 21st (24) | 56th (22) |
3rd Down Con. % | 52nd (33.3%) | 58th (40.0%) |
4th Down Con. % | 62nd (0.00%) | 50th (60.0%) |
Red Zone Con. % | 1st (100%) | 81st (80.0%) |
Turnovers Lost | 26th (1) | 73rd (2) |
Interceptions Thrown | 48th (1) | 59th (1) |
Fumbles Lost | 1st (0) | 75th (1) |
Tackles For Loss Allowed | 46th (6.00) | 80th (7.00) |
Sacks Allowed | 1st (0.00) | 52nd (2.00) |
Avg. Time of Possession | 50th (30:46) | 8th (35:52) |
Key: Louisville - National Rank out of 126 FBS Teams (Value); EKU - National Rank out of 105 FCS Teams (Value)
- Defensive Statistics:
| Eastern Kentucky | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Defense | 85th (501.0) | 121st (569.0) |
Passing Yards Allowed | 68th (275.0) | 125th (381.0) |
Rushing Yards Allowed | 80th (226.0) | 94th (188.0) |
3rd Down Defensive % | 43rd (33.3%) | 20th (22.2%) |
4th Down Defensive % | 54th (50.0%) | 97th (100%) |
First Downs Allowed | 99th (31) | 117th (31) |
Red Zone Defensive % | 43rd (83.3%) | 60th (87.5%) |
Turnovers Gained | 24th (2) | N/A |
Interceptions Caught | 9th (2) | N/A |
Fumbles Recovered | N/A | N/A |
Sacks Per Games | 54th (1.00) | 50th (2.00) |
TFL Per Game | 92nd (2.00) | 93rd (4.00) |
Key: Louisville - National Rank out of 126 FBS Teams (Value); EKU - National Rank out of 105 FCS Teams (Value)
- Special Teams Statistics:
| Eastern Kentucky | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Net Punting | 74th (33.50) | 23rd (44.33) |
Avg. Kickoff Return | 31st (21.50) | 31st (22.38) |
Avg. Punt Return | 50th (0.00) | 73rd (1.00) |
Blocked Kicks | N/A | N/A |
Blocked Kicks Allowed | 1st (0) | 1st (0) |
Blocked Punts | N/A | N/A |
Blocked Punts Allowed | 1st (0) | 1st (0) |
Field Goal Attempts | 1-1 | 1-1 |
PAT | 4-4 | 3-3 |
Key: Louisville - National Rank out of 126 FBS Teams (Value); EKU - National Rank out of 105 FCS Teams (Value)
- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have a 97.6 percent chance to win against the Colonels. Louisville has an FPI of 0.6 (68th overall), and EKU is not ranked due to being an FCS opponent.
- SP+ Prediction:
Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have a 90.42 percent chance to take down the Colonels. Louisville has an SP+ rating of -0.3 (74th overall), and like with FPI, EKU is not ranked due to being an FCS opponent. Following the loss to Ole Miss, Louisville is now favored in just three remaining games on the schedule (EKU, Syracuse, Duke)
- Personal Prediction: Louisville 52, Eastern Kentucky 7.
(Photo of Connor Blount, Yasir Abdullah: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)
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McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. He is also a co-host of the 'From The Pink Seats' podcast on the State of Louisville network. Video gamer, bourbon drinker and dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic