Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Georgia Tech
LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (0-0, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Georgia Tech (0-0, 0-0 ACC) on Friday, Sept. 1 at 7:30 p.m. EST at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Ga. for the Aflac Kickoff Classic. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Yellow Jackets:
- Rankings:
| Georgia Tech | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | NR/NR | RV/NR |
SOS | N/A | N/A |
SP+ | 75th | 40th |
FPI | 66th | 43rd |
Sagarin | 89th | 42nd |
- Offensive Statistics (2022):
| Georgia Tech | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Offense | 114th (324.8) | 48th (406.2) |
Scoring Offense | 124th (17.2) | 73rd (26.9) |
Passing Yards | 108th (192.2) | 98th (205.5) |
Yards Per Completion | 114th (10.53) | 59th (12.26) |
Rushing Yards | 90th (132.7) | 23rd (200.6) |
First Downs Gained | 110th (212) | 67th (264) |
3rd Down Con. % | 121st (30.6%) | 80th (37.9%) |
4th Down Con. % | 120th (33.3%) | 106th (40.0%) |
Red Zone Con. % | 126th (71.1%) | 70th (83.0%) |
Turnovers Lost | 17th (13) | 116th (24) |
Interceptions Thrown | 48th (9) | 84th (12) |
Fumbles Lost | 9th (4) | 110th (12) |
Tackles For Loss Allowed | 126th (8.25) | 74th (5.77) |
Sacks Allowed | 116th (3.25) | 64th (2.08) |
Avg. Time of Possession | 102nd (28:27) | 61st (30:04) |
Key: National Rank out of 131 FBS Teams (Value)
- Defensive Statistics (2022):
| Georgia Tech | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Total Defense | 84th (401.0) | 23rd (330.2) |
Scoring Defense | 83rd (28.4) | 11th (19.2) |
Passing Yards Allowed | 46th (212.4) | 22nd (197.0) |
Rushing Yards Allowed | 107th (188.6) | 37th (133.2) |
First Downs Allowed | 85th (274) | 36th (238) |
3rd Down Defensive % | 121st (30.6%) | 80th (37.9%) |
4th Down Defensive % | 120th (33.3%) | 106th (40.0%) |
Red Zone Defensive % | 40th (80.4%) | 11th (74.4%) |
Turnovers Gained | 14th (24) | 3rd (30) |
Interceptions Caught | 51st (11) | 14th (15) |
Fumbles Recovered | 7th (13) | 2nd (15) |
Sacks Per Game | 48th (2.33) | 1st (3.85) |
TFL Per Game | 49th (6.2) | 7th (7.5) |
Key: National Rank out of 131 FBS Teams (Value)
- Special Teams Statistics:
| Georgia Tech | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Net Punting | 130th (30.73) | 30th (40.15) |
Avg. Kickoff Return | 48th (21.00) | 6th (24.73) |
Avg. Kickoff Return Def. | 63rd (20.10) | (36th (18.15) |
Avg. Punt Return | 39th (9.33) | 102nd (5.04) |
Avg. Punt Return Def. | 129th (18.54) | 34th (5.52) |
Field Goal Attempts | 14-19 | 20-22 |
PAT | 20-21 | 38-39 |
Key: National Rank out of 131 FBS Teams (Value)
- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have a 68.1 percent chance to win against the Yellow Jackets. Louisville has an FPI rating of 6.8 (43rd overall), whereas Georgia Tech has an FPI rating of -0.6 (66th overall).
- SP+ Prediction: Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have a 80.96 percent chance to take down the Yellow Jackets. Louisville has an SP+ rating of 9.5 (40th overall), whereas Georgia Tech has an SP+ rating of -5.4 (75th overall).
- Personal Prediction: Louisville 38, Georgia Tech 17.
(Photo of Trey Franklin: Jared Anderson - Louisville Report)
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