Louisville Report

Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Indiana

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Hoosiers for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:
Matthew McGavic|
Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Indiana
Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Indiana

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Louisville CardinalsIndiana Hoosiers

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (2-0, 1-0 ACC) is set to face Indiana (1-1, 0-1 Big Ten) on Saturday, Sept. 16 at 12:00 p.m. EST at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Ind. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Hoosiers:

- Rankings:

IndianaLouisville

AP/USA TODAY

NR/NR

RV/RV

SOS

81st

117th

SP+

79th

27th

FPI

66th

27th

Sagarin

79th

37th

- Offensive Statistics:

IndianaLouisville

Total Offense

90th (355.5)

4th (582.0)

Yards Per Play

91st (5.35)

5th (8.14)

Scoring Offense

103rd (22.0)

13th (47.5)

Passing Yards

84th (213.0)

31st (296.5)

Yards Per Completion

70th (11.83)

35th (13.79)

Rushing Yards

80th (142.5)

3rd (285.5)

Yards Per Rush Attempt

96th (3.80)

3rd (7.32)

First Downs Gained

68th (43)

31st (50)

3rd Down Con. %

21st (54.8%)

129th (22.7%)

4th Down Con. %

90th (33.3%)

24th (80.0%)

Red Zone Con. %

1st (100.0%)

1st (100.0%)

Turnovers Lost

10th (1)

72nd (3)

Interceptions Thrown

1st (0)

98th (3)

Fumbles Lost

52nd (1)

1st (0)

Tackles For Loss Allowed

35th (4.50)

2nd (2.00)

Sacks Allowed

26th (1.00)

8th (0.50)

Avg. Time of Possession

30th (32:27)

58th (30:31)

Key: National Rank out of 132 FBS Teams (Value)

- Defensive Statistics:

IndianaLouisville

Total Defense

15th (236.5)

60th (327.0)

Yards Allowed Per Play

28th (4.30)

71st (5.27)

Scoring Defense

34th (15.0)

43rd (17.0)

Passing Yards Allowed

11th (129.0)

51st (192.5)

Rushing Yards Allowed

56th (107.5)

83rd (134.5)

First Downs Allowed

20th (30)

27th (31)

3rd Down Defensive %

4th (17.4%)

44th (33.3%)

4th Down Defensive %

59th (50.0%)

59th (50.0%)

Red Zone Defensive %

54th (80.0%)

14th (60.0%)

Turnovers Gained

73rd (2)

14th (5)

Interceptions Caught

42nd (2)

42nd (2)

Fumbles Recovered

N/A

2nd (3)

Sacks Per Game

63rd (2.00)

105th (1.00)

TFL Per Game

58th (6.0)

120th (3.5)

Key: National Rank out of 132 FBS Teams (Value)

- Special Teams Statistics:

IndianaLouisville

Net Punting

8th (46.62)

50th (41.00)

Avg. Kickoff Return

106th (15.40)

39th (23.00)

Avg. Kickoff Return Def.

80th (20.00)

35th (15.67)

Avg. Punt Return

51st (8.50)

100th (1.50)

Avg. Punt Return Def.

75th (4.67)

92nd (8.00)

Field Goal Attempts

3-3

4-4

PAT

5-5

11-11

Key: National Rank out of 132 FBS Teams (Value)

- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have a 74.5 percent chance to win against the Hoosiers. Louisville has an FPI rating of 9.8 (27th overall), whereas Indiana has an FPI rating of 0.0 (66th overall).

- SP+ Prediction:

Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have an 82.82 percent chance to take down the Hoosiers. Louisville has an SP+ rating of 12.9 (27th overall), whereas Indiana has an SP+ rating of -3.2 (79th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 31, Indiana 17.

(Photo of Louisville Players: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)

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You can also follow Deputy Editor Matthew McGavic at @Matt_McGavic on Twitter

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Published
Matthew McGavic
MATTHEW MCGAVIC

McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. Also an avid video gamer, a bourbon enthusiast, and fierce dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic

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