Louisville Report

Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Boston College

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Eagles for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:
Matthew McGavic|
Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Boston College
Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Boston College

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Louisville CardinalsBoston College Eagles

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (3-0, 1-0 ACC) is set to face Boston College (1-2, 0-1 ACC) on Saturday, Sept. 23 at 3:30 p.m. EST at L&N Stadium in Louisville, Ky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Eagles:

- Rankings:

Boston CollegeLouisville

AP/USA TODAY

NR/NR

RV/RV

SOS

19th

124th

SP+

83rd

34th

FPI

85th

28th

Sagarin

81st

34th

- Offensive Statistics:

Boston CollegeLouisville

Total Offense

69th (393.3)

9th (528.7)

Yards Per Play

77th (5.65)

10th (7.74)

Scoring Offense

75th (28.0)

32nd (38.7)

Passing Yards

78th (224.7)

35th (277.0)

Yards Per Completion

62nd (12.48)

17th (14.84)

Rushing Yards

58th (168.7)

4th (251.7)

Yards Per Rush Attempt

65th (4.44)

4th (6.45)

First Downs Gained

69th (63)

41st (70)

3rd Down Con. %

62nd (42.9%)

104th (35.3%)

4th Down Con. %

14th (88.9%)

19th (80.0%)

Red Zone Con. %

42nd (90.0%)

28th (92.3%)

Turnovers Lost

10th (2)

60th (4)

Interceptions Thrown

36th (2)

99th (4)

Fumbles Lost

1st (0)

1st (0)

Tackles For Loss Allowed

38th (4.33)

2nd (2.67)

Sacks Allowed

20th (1.00)

20th (1.00)

Avg. Time of Possession

94th (28:29)

77th (29:56)

Key: National Rank out of 133 FBS Teams (Value)

- Defensive Statistics:

Boston CollegeLouisville

Total Defense

69th (358.7)

59th (337.0)

Yards Allowed Per Play

88th (5.69)

76th (5.46)

Scoring Defense

95th (28.7)

35th (16.0)

Passing Yards Allowed

23rd (171.3)

84th (228.0)

Rushing Yards Allowed

115th (187.3)

42nd (109.0)

First Downs Allowed

94th (62)

38th (50)

3rd Down Defensive %

105th (45.7%)

48th (35.0%)

4th Down Defensive %

122nd (100.0%)

15th (25.0%)

Red Zone Defensive %

109th (100.0%)

9th (57.1%)

Turnovers Gained

63rd (4)

25th (6)

Interceptions Caught

N/A

44th (3)

Fumbles Recovered

4th (4)

12th (3)

Sacks Per Game

126th (0.67)

126th (0.67)

TFL Per Game

128th (3.3)

111th (4.3)

Key: National Rank out of 133 FBS Teams (Value)

- Special Teams Statistics:

Boston CollegeLouisville

Net Punting

99th (37.07)

97th (37.22)

Avg. Kickoff Return

125th (11.62)

38th (23.00)

Avg. Kickoff Return Def.

17th (13.80)

29th (15.67)

Avg. Punt Return

69th (7.00)

113th (2.10)

Avg. Punt Return Def.

4th (-2.00)

79th (8.00)

Field Goal Attempts

3-3

4-5

PAT

9-10

14-14

Key: National Rank out of 133 FBS Teams (Value)

- FPI Prediction: Per ESPN's Football Power Index, the Cardinals have an 88.5 percent chance to win against the Eagles. Louisville has an FPI rating of 10.1 (28th overall), whereas Boston College has an FPI rating of -5.1 (85th overall).

- SP+ Prediction:

Per Bill Connelly's SP+ model, the Cardinals have an 88.15 percent chance to take down the Eagles. Louisville has an SP+ rating of 11.3 (34th overall), whereas Boston College has an SP+ rating of -6.3 (83rd overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 35, Boston College 24.

(Photo of Kenderick Duncan, Jaelen Gill: Bob DeChiara - USA TODAY Sports)

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You can also follow Deputy Editor Matthew McGavic at @Matt_McGavic on Twitter

Published
Matthew McGavic
MATTHEW MCGAVIC

McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. He is also a co-host of the 'From The Pink Seats' podcast on the State of Louisville network. Video gamer, bourbon drinker and dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic

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