Chiefs vs. Eagles picks, predictions: Super Bowl 2023 odds, spread, lines

The eyes of the football world are on Glendale this Sunday as Super Bowl LVII kicks off between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles and now it's time to get up to date on the game's expert picks and predictions.

Two of the game's premier young quarterbacks will be on the same field as Patrick Mahomes looks to win what would be his second Lombardi Trophy, while rising star Jalen Hurts goes under center for the Eagles.

Mahomes comes into the game as the NFL's leader in passing yards for the 2022 season but may be facing some unwelcome history as a result.

Just six quarterbacks who led the NFL in passing have also played in the Super Bowl that year, and all six of those signal callers lost the championship game.

Kansas City has played two close games in the playoffs, defeating Jacksonville by a 27-20 count in the AFC Divisional Round, and edging past Cincinnati by a field goal in the AFC Championship Game.

Philadelphia fared easier in two postseason matchups, taking down the New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers by a combined 69 to 14.

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the Super Bowl.

Super Bowl 2023: Chiefs vs. Eagles game picks, predictions

Chiefs chance of victory: Kansas City comes into the game with the narrow 53.3 percent chance to win outright, according to the index.

Eagles chance of victory: That leaves NFC challenger Philadelphia with the close 46.7 percent shot to take home its second Lombardi Trophy.

Point spread: Philadelphia enters the Super Bowl as narrow 1.5 point favorites to defeat Kansas City, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook.

Total: 51 | Over -110 | Under -110

Moneyline: PHI -118 | KC +100

Spread consensus pick: Eagles -1.5 (59 percent of bets on Philadelphia)

Score prediction: Team Rankings projects that Philadelphia will defeat Kansas City by an estimated score of 26.2 to 24.3 and win Super Bowl LVII. (Eagles -1.5, Under 51)

Chiefs on the index: Kansas City ranks as the No. 1 team in the Football Power Index NFL rankings, owing to its projected 13.1 point per game scoring margin.

Eagles on the index: Philadelphia posts the No. 2 position on the FPI rankings, just behind KC with an estimated 13.0 point per game scoring margin.

Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team's future performance.

Rankings and score predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team's season, using a combination of analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, and a team's schedule.

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