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With undefeated start firmly in rearview mirror, Chiefs face more questions than answers

Alex Smith's mistakes outnumbered his big plays, and that's a losing formula. (Ed Zurga/AP) The Kansas City Chiefs clinched a spot in the 2013 playoffs in
With undefeated start firmly in rearview mirror, Chiefs face more questions than answers
With undefeated start firmly in rearview mirror, Chiefs face more questions than answers

Alex Smith's mistakes outnumbered his big plays, and that's a losing formula. (Ed Zurga/AP)

The Kansas City Chiefs clinched a spot in the 2013 playoffs in Week 15, which is certainly an impressive feat just one season after they went 2-14 and secured the first overall pick in the 2013 draft. Their 11-4 record is a testament to the great jobs done by everyone in the organization -- from new head coach Andy Reid, to defensive coordinator Bob Sutton, to general manager John Dorsey, and on and on.

The Chiefs were the NFL's last undefeated team -- they didn't drop a game until the AFC West-leading Denver Broncos beat them 27-17 on Nov. 17. That was the first loss in a three-game streak that had a lot of people starting to worry about Kansas City's ability to roll strong and long in the playoffs. Though victories over the Washington Redskins and Oakland Raiders in December took the sting out of that, Sunday's 23-7 loss to the Indianapolis Colts had people wondering internally just how set this team is to deal with the NFL's best when it counts the most.

The last time the Chiefs beat a team worthy of playoff contention was on Sept. 26, when they took the Philadelphia Eagles 26-16. But that was when the Eagles were getting used to Chip Kelly, Michael Vick was the starting quarterback instead of Nick Foles and the Chiefs were still sacking quarterbacks. Kansas City has the San Diego Chargers in its regular-season finale, and if it can't take that one, the questions will persist -- even when the playoff opportunity is still valid.

“It’s one of those moments where you have to look in the mirror in all three phases," cornerback Dunta Robinson said after the Colts game. "They came in today and kicked our ass, and we deserved everything we got. No excuses. You have to look in the mirror, and we have to decide what kind of team we want to be moving forward. OK, you dominate Oakland, yeah you dominate the Redskins, but what are we going to do when we face other powerhouses? We’re a much better team than we showed today, and we have to play like it.”

It's a valid argument. Apart from a five-sack performance against Robert Griffin III in a Dec. 8 win over the Redskins, Kansas City's pass rush has not at all resembled the squad that led the league in sacks by a wide margin before its November bye. This trend continued against Indianapolis, as Andrew Luck was sacked just once in 37 passing attempts behind an offensive line that's been porous all season.

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“We had some – myself included – some errors on D at times," linebacker Derrick Johnson said. "Speaking just defensively, we had some mistakes and they capitalized off them every single time. We’ll see them again; they got the upper hand on us right now because in their minds, they think they can beat us. If we go down there [to Indianapolis], it will be a different story.”

The Chiefs had better hope so, because it's quite possible that the Chiefs could travel to Indianapolis to meet the AFC South champion Colts in the playoffs. If they're to flip the script as Johnson implied, they'll have to cut down on the mistakes in all aspects. Quarterback Alex Smith is best when he's eliminating errors and relying on a great defense and sound running game. He doesn't have the pure arm talent to overcome games like this, in which he fumbled once and threw two interceptions. Jamaal Charles ran for 106 yards on just 13 carries, but the Colts expected that -- Charles blew the Colts up for 226 yards on the ground in Week 16 of last season. It was everything else that fell apart for the Chiefs, leaving Reid at more loose ends than you'd expect from a coach who has engineered such an impressive turnaround.

"I would expect our players to be upset over this and that’s what I sensed in that locker room," Reid said. "You learn from it, you have a short memory and then you move on and go get busy for your next opponent, whoever that might be. We’ve done that up to this point and we’ll continue to do that.”

If they don't do more of it -- and soon -- the Chiefs could very well be the NFL's most impressive one-and-done in the postseason.

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Doug Farrar
DOUG FARRAR

SI.com contributing NFL writer and Seattle resident Doug Farrar started writing about football locally in 2002, and became Football Outsiders' West Coast NFL guy in 2006. He was fascinated by FO's idea to combine Bill James with Dr. Z, and wrote for the site for six years. He wrote a game-tape column called "Cover-2" for a number of years, and contributed to six editions of "Pro Football Prospectus" and the "Football Outsiders Almanac." In 2009,  Doug was invited to join Yahoo Sports' NFL team, and covered Senior Bowls, scouting combines, Super Bowls, and all sorts of other things for Yahoo Sports and the Shutdown Corner blog through June, 2013. Doug received the proverbial offer he couldn't refuse from SI.com in 2013, and that was that. Doug has also written for the Seattle Times, the Washington Post, the New York Sun, FOX Sports, ESPN.com, and ESPN The Magazine.  He also makes regular appearances on several local and national radio shows, and has hosted several podcasts over the years. He counts Dan Jenkins, Thomas Boswell, Frank Deford, Ralph Wiley, Peter King, and Bill Simmons as the writers who made him want to do this for a living. In his rare off-time, Doug can be found reading, hiking, working out, searching for new Hendrix, Who, and MC5 bootlegs, and wondering if the Mariners will ever be good again.