Betting Odds And Prediction For F1's United States Grand Prix At COTA

Predictions and betting odds for the F1 2025 United States Grand Prix.
Erich Schlegel-Imagn Images

Formula 1 kicks off the final quarter of the 2025 championship season with a sprint weekend at the United States Grand Prix.

The Circuit of the Americas plays host to the fourth sprint of the season, where teams and drivers will be faced with only one practice session before heading into competitive running, with sprint qualifying and the sprint itself replacing FP2 and FP3.

McLaren won the constructors' championship in Singapore but heads into the weekend without a victory since the Dutch Grand Prix. Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris are ready to turn their full focus on their own title aspirations.

Lando Norris, Oscar Piastri, McLaren
Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, McLaren, debrief after finishing second and third at the 2025 Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix at Autodromo Nazionale Monza, Monza. | McLaren Racing

Red Bull's Max Verstappen has been the in-form driver since the summer break, but even he was unable to stop Mercedes' George Russell from emerging victorious in Singapore — the Briton securing a second win of the season.

Haas, Racing Bulls, Williams, McLaren and others have revealed special color schemes for the weekend, with Racing Bulls' striking 'Tortoise' design sure to be a hit with those watching.

Who will keep their cool under the blazing Texan sun? Let's take a look at the betting odds, courtesy of DraftKings.


F1 2025 United States Grand Prix fastest qualifier

Driver

Odds

Oscar Piastri

+225

Max Verstappen

+225

Lando Norris

+225

George Russell

+800

Charles Leclerc

+900

F1 2025 United States Grand Prix race winner

Driver

Odds

Lando Norris

+220

Oscar Piastri

+220

Max Verstappen

+225

George Russell

+1000

Charles Leclerc

+1200

F1 2025 United States Grand Prix podium finish

Driver

Odds

Oscar Piastri

-300

Lando Norris

-300

Max Verstappen

-275

George Russell

+115

Charles Leclerc

+125

F1 2025 United States Grand Prix fastest lap

Driver

Odds

Oscar Piastri

+225

Lando Norris

+225

Max Verstappen

+450

George Russell

+850

Lewis Hamilton

+900


F1 2025 United States Grand Prix prediction

McLaren's recent form makes the team hard to back, despite being the favorites in the odds. Neither Piastri nor Norris have qualified on pole or won a race since Zandvoort, with Verstappen victorious in Monza and Azerbaijan before Russell's triumph last time out.

Given Mercedes' difficulty in the type of heat experienced at COTA and the circuit characteristics in Singapore helping the Silver Arrows, Verstappen looks like the driver to side with.

With recent struggles continuing in Singapore with brake issues on both cars, there is no reason to believe Ferrari can mix it at the front with McLaren, Red Bull and Ferrari.

Winner: Max Verstappen


How to watch the F1 2025 United States Grand Prix

  • Dates: October 17-19, 2025
  • Start Time: 3:00 p.m. EST / 2:00 p.m. Local
  • TV/Stream: ESPN / ESPN+ / F1TV
  • Location: Circuit of the Americas, Austin, Texas, United States

Race odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Ewan Gale
EWAN GALE

Ewan is a motorsport journalist covering F1 for Grand Prix On SI. Having been educated at Silverstone, the home of the British Grand Prix, and subsequently graduating from university with a sports journalism degree, Ewan made a move into F1 in 2021. Ewan joins after a stint with Autosport as an editor, having written for a number of outlets including RacingNews365 and GPFans, during which time he has covered grand prix and car launches as an accredited member of the media.

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