ESPN FPI Predicts BYU vs Cincinnati, Updates Win Projection for the Cougars
The first four games of BYU's 2023 season are in the books. The Cougars fell to Kansas on Saturday in a 38-27 loss. BYU is 3-1 as returns for the Big 12 home opener against Cincinnati. Cincinnati is 2-2 and coming off a 20-6 loss to Oklahoma. ESPN's predictive college football algorithm, the football power index, updated its prediction for BYU-Cincinnati. FPI gives BYU a 42.7% chance to beat Cincinnati at home.
Coming off a win over Arkansas, FPI projected BYU to finish with a 6.1-5.9 record and gave BYU a 63.2% chance to finish with six or more wins. After the loss to Kansas, FPI downgraded BYU's projected record to 5.4-6.6 and gives BYU just a 45.3% chance to finish with six or more wins.
BYU started the 2023 season ranked 60th in FPI. The Cougars improved to 56th with the win over Arkansas - they dropped five spots after the loss to Kansas to 61st nationally. BYU is now ranked above Oklahoma State (63), Houston (71) and Baylor (76).
Oklahoma is the the highest-ranked Big 12 team in the FPI rankings - the Sooners rank second nationally.
Big 12 FPI Rankings
- Oklahoma - 2nd nationally
- Texas - 6th nationally
- Kansas State - 21st nationally
- UCF - 25th nationally
- TCU - 26th nationally
- Texas Tech - 37th nationally
- Cincinnati - 39th nationally
- West Virginia - 47th nationally
- Kansas - 51st nationally
- Iowa State - 52nd nationally
- BYU - 61st nationally
- Oklahoma State - 63rd nationally
- Houston - 71st nationally
- Baylor - 76th nationally
In the FPI model, Oklahoma is given 49.1% chance to win the conference and Texas is second at 38.6%. TCU is third in line with a 2.6% chance to win the Big 12.
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