Will Illinois Roll Through Its Early Big Ten Slate? Predicting the Next 10 Games

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In our first go-round of projecting Illinois’ results in the 2025-26 season, Illinois on SI was spot-on in terms of the record (8-2), but admittedly, we were a bit off on the game-to-game predictions. (We expected Illinois to lose to Texas Tech and beat Alabama, but those results were flipped. The rest, we nailed.)
Now, with nearly one-third of the regular-season schedule completed, we turn our attention to the next 10 contests, which feature eight Big Ten games and a pair of non-conference matchups. Here are our predictions for the upcoming slate:
Projecting the outcome of Illinois' next 10 games

Nebraska (Dec. 13)
Champaign, Illinois
Nebraska is undefeated and currently tied for the best start in its history. That is all set to change on Saturday when the Cornhuskers head to Champaign. The Illini are too big, too talented and simply too good for the visitors to pull off an upset.
Prediction: Illinois win (9-2)

Missouri (Dec. 22)
St. Louis
Three of the last four Braggin’ Rights contests have been blowout games decided by 20 or more. Expect that trend to continue in 2025, with Illinois controlling this game wire-to-wire against a down Missouri team.
Prediction: Illinois win (10-2)
Southern (Dec. 29)
Champaign, Illinois
All due respect to Southern, which is currently 4-6, but there are levels to this. The Illini are simply on a different one.
Prediction: Illinois win (11-2)

Penn State (Jan. 3)
Philadelphia
The historical setting of this contest – it will take place at The Palestra – won’t save one of the worst Penn State teams in recent memory from its inevitable fate: a double-digit loss to the Illini.
Prediction: Illinois win (12-2)
Rutgers (Jan. 8)
Champaign, Illinois
Similar to Penn State, Rutgers is in the midst of a busted season, meaning Illinois should roll past the visitors in front of an orange-and-blue crowd.
Prediction: Illinois win (13-2)

Iowa (Jan. 11)
Iowa City, Iowa
Iowa’s Bennett Stirtz is the real deal. The Hawkeyes don’t have many more weapons, but they’re solid defensively and a well-coached ball club. The Illini, even on the road, are likely favorites, but they aren’t invincible. Falters in Big Ten play are simply part of the gig. With that in mind, we’ll ride with Iowa to give Illinois its first conference loss of the season.
Bennett Stirtz is like a robot who is programmed to maximize a possession.
— Latif Love (@realLatifLove) November 15, 2025
Impeccable pace and understanding of leverage.
He doesn’t make mistakes and is an every down back.
Move to high-major hasn’t phased him a bit. pic.twitter.com/c4Ansjp6ft
Prediction: Illinois loss (13-3)
Northwestern (Jan. 14)
Evanston, Illinois
Recently, the city of Evanston has not been kind to Illinois, which has dropped its last three road games against Northwestern. But this ‘Cats squad is only Nick Martinelli, and the Illini should be able to slow him enough to escape with their first win in the north suburbs since 2022.
🇮🇹🇺🇸 Nick Martinelli had another dominant performance vs. Ohio State:
— Spel (@spel81) December 7, 2025
32 PTS
8 REB
4 AST
2 STL
1 BLK
1.333 PPP
10/16 FG
2/3 3FG
10/12 FT
Martinelli tied his career high with 32 points, showed a great combination of toughness inside and touch from the outside #scouting #paisà pic.twitter.com/iM5V6uDnMA
Prediction: Illinois win (14-3)
Minnesota (Jan. 17)
Champaign, Illinois
The bottom part of the Big Ten is surprisingly bad, and Minnesota falls firmly into that category – although Cade Tyson has been an impressive breakout player. Expect the Illini to comfortably steamroll the visitors in Champaign.
Prediction: Illinois win (15-3)

Maryland (Jan. 21)
Champaign, Illinois
Illinois is undeniably a good basketball team, but it’s also the beneficiary of a weak Big Ten slate – at least in the first half of league play. Maryland is yet another faltering conference foe, and the Illini should have their way with a Terrapins team that has recently been a thorn in Illinois’ side.
Prediction: Illinois win (16-3)

Purdue (Jan. 24)
West Lafayette, Indiana
Clearly, as we saw when Iowa State waltzed into Mackey Arena and picked Purdue apart, winning in West Lafayette is a feat that can be accomplished – but not at all easily. The Boilermakers had a horrid showing on that afternoon, but you better believe Matt Painter will put the pieces back together, surely aided in that process by his superstar lead guard Braden Smith. Illinois can’t solely rely on talent in this one, and if it comes down to Brad Underwood vs. Painter on the white board, it’s tough not to give the upper hand to Purdue.
Prediction: Illinois loss (16-4)

Primarily covers Illinois football and basketball, and Kansas basketball, with an emphasis on analysis, features and recruiting. Langendorf, a third-generation University of Illinois alum, has been watching Illini basketball and football for as long as he can remember. An advertising student and journalism devotee, he has been writing for On SI since October 2024. He can be followed and reached on X @jglangendorf.
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