Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Stanford

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Cardinal for their ACC Tournament matchup, and who the statistical models favor.

Mar 8, 2025; Louisville, Kentucky, USA; Louisville Cardinals guard Terrence Edwards Jr. (5) shoots against Stanford Cardinal forward Maxime Raynaud (42) and forward Jaylen Thompson (24) during the second half at KFC Yum! Center. Louisville defeated Stanford 68-48. Mandatory Credit: Jamie Rhodes-Imagn Images / Jamie Rhodes-Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (24-6, 17-2 ACC) is set to face Stanford (20-12, 11-9 ACC) on Thursday, Mar. 12 at 7:00 p.m. EST at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, N.C. in the ACC Tournament quarterfinals. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Cardinal:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	Stanford	Louisville
AP/USAT	NR/NR	13th/13th
SOS	81st	44th
SOR	67th	14th
BPI	91st	29th
NET	83rd	23rd
RPI	68th	18th
KenPom	83rd	23rd
Torvik	81st	19th
EvanMiya	88th	19th

Team Leaders

	Stanford	Louisville
Points	Maxime Raynaud (20.2)	Chucky Hepburn (16.3)
Rebounds	Maxime Raynaud (10.8)	J'Vonne Hadley (7.4)
Assists	Jaylen Blakes (4.7)	Chucky Hepburn (5.9)
Steals	Jaylen Blakes (1.8)	Chucky Hepburn (5.9)
Blocks	Maxime Raynaud (1.2)	James Scott (0.9)

Scoring

	insert	Louisville
Points Per Game	73.0	79.3
Field Goal %	43.3%	45.6%
FGM/FGA Per Game	25.5/58.8	27.1/59.5
Three Point %	33.8%	33.3
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	8.2/24.3	9.6/29.0
Free Throw %	78.7%	74.9%
FTM/FTA Per Game	13.8/17.6	15.5/20.7

Rebounding

	insert	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	34.2	26.5
Off. Reb. Per Game	10.9	11.1
Def, Reb. Per Game	23.3	26.5
Rebound Margin	1.2	4.3

Defense

	insert	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	70.4	68.5
Opp. FG%	44.7%	42.4%
Opp. 3PT%	33.4%	33.3%
Steals Per Game	6.9	6.6
Blocks Per Game	3.4	2.9
Turnovers Forced Per Game	11.8	13.2

Ball Handling

	insert	Louisville
Assists Per Game	13.8	14.2
Turnovers Per Game	10.6	11.4
Turnover Margin	1.2	1.8
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.3	1.2

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has an 80 percent chance to win against Stanford. The Cardinals have a BPI rating of 14.2 (28th overall), whereas the xxx have a BPI rating of 5.9 (91st overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have an 80 percent chance to take down the Cardinal, with a projected final score of 77-68 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +22.91 (23rd overall), whereas Stanford has an adjusted efficiency margin of +9.11 (83rd overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have an 82 percent chance to take down the Cardinal, with a projected final score of 77-67 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9297 (19th overall), whereas Stanford has a "Barthag" of .7466 (81st overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Louisville 80, Stanford 73.

(Photo of Terrence Edwards Jr: Jamie Rhodes - Imagn Images)

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