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Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. NC State

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Wolfpack for their ACC Tournament matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (8-23, 3-17 ACC) is set to face NC State (17-14, 9-11 ACC) in the ACC Tournament on Tuesday, Mar. 12 at 4:30 p.m. EST from Capital One Arena. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Wolfpack:

- Rankings:

NC StateLouisville

AP/USA TODAY

NR/NR

NR/NR

NET

80th

214th

RPI

113th

282nd

BPI

72nd

222nd

SOS

81st

99th

KenPom

76th

197th

Torvik

76th

208th

- Team Leaders:

NC StateLouisville

Points

D.J. Horne (16.8)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (12.8)

Rebounds

Mohamed Diarra (6.6)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (8.5)

Assists

Michael O'Connell (3.0)

Ty-Laur Johnson (3.7)

Steals

D.J. Horne (1.4)

Ty-Laur Johnson (1.4)

Blocks

Mohamed Diarra (0.8)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.8)

- Scoring:

NC StateLouisville

Points Per Game

75.5

71.6

Field Goal %

44.4%

43.2%

FGM/FGA Per Game

27.3/61.5

24.7/57.3

Three Point %

34.6%

29.8%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

7.2/20.9

5.3/17.8

Free Throw %

72.3%

74.2%

FTM/FTA Per Game

13.6/18.9

16.8/22.6

- Rebounding:

NC StateLouisville

Rebounds Per Game

35.0

34.6

Off. Reb. Per Game

10.6

10.0

Def. Reb. Per Game

24.4

24.6

Rebound Margin

-1.5

-0.3

- Defense:

NC StateLouisville

Opp. Points Per Game

72.8

78.6

Opp. FG%

44.5%

47.1%

Opp. 3P%

35.1%

37.2%

Steals Per Game

7.2

5.4

Blocks Per Game

3.3

2.5

Turnovers Forced Per Game

12.5

11.5

- Ball Handling:

NC StateLouisville

Assists Per Game

12.7

11.1

Turnovers Per Game

9.6

12.7

Turnover Margin

2.9

-1.2

Assist/Turnover Ratio

1.3

0.9

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has an 11.3 percent chance to win against NC State.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 20 percent chance to take down the Wolfpack, with a projected final score of 80-71 in favor of Boston College.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 18 percent chance to take down the Wolfpack, with a projected final score of 80-71 in favor of NC State.

- Personal Prediction: NC State 85, Louisville 70.

(Photo of Ty-Laur Johnson: Jared Anderson - Louisville Report)

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