Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Texas

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LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (2-1, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Texas (3-0, 0-0 Big 12) on Sunday, Nov. 19 at 3:30 p.m. EST at Madison Square Garden as part of the Empire Classic. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Longhorns:
- Rankings:
| Texas | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | 19th/17th | NR/NR |
NET | 7th | 315th |
RPI | 162nd | 235th |
SOS | 276th | 223rd |
BPI | 16th | 262nd |
KenPom | 18th | 177th |
Torvik | 22nd | 183rd |
Sagarin | N/A | N/A |
- Team Leaders:
| Texas | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Two Tied (14.7) | Mike James (18.0) |
Rebounds | Dillon Mitchell (10.0) | Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (10.3) |
Assists | Tyrese Hunter (4.3) | Skyy Clark (2.3) |
Steals | Brock Cunningham (2.3) | Three Tied (1.3) |
Blocks | Dillon Mitchell (1.7) | Emmanuel Okorafor (1.0) |
- Scoring:
| Texas | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 84.7 | 75.3 |
Field Goal % | 54.3% | 42.7% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 29.7/54.7 | 27.3/64.0 |
Three Point % | 45.7% | 26.4% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 10.7/23.3 | 4.7/17.7 |
Free Throw % | 66.7% | 65.8% |
- Rebounding:
| Texas | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 39.3 | 44.3 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 8.3 | 17.0 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 31 | 27.3 |
Rebound Margin | 8.3 | 8.0 |
- Defense:
| Texas | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 59.7 | 71.7 |
Opp. FG% | 35.8% | 41.7% |
Opp. 3PT% | 20.4% | 38.9% |
Steals Per Game | 9.0 | 6.3 |
Blocks Per Game | 5.3 | 3.3 |
- Ball Handling:
| Texas | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 19.7 | 9.0 |
Turnovers Per Game | 16.3 | 14.7 |
Turnover Margin | -0.7 | -0.7 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.2 | 0.6 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 10.1 percent chance to win against Texas.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a nine percent chance to take down the Longhorns, with a projected final score of 80-65 in favor of Texas. By current metrics, Texas is the third-highest ranked opponent that Louisville will face all season (Duke, Kentucky).
- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 10 percent chance to take down the Longhorns, with a projected final score of 81-67 in favor of Texas.
- Personal Prediction: Texas 85, Louisville 62.
(Photo of Mike James: Jared Anderson - Louisville Report)
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McGavic is a 2016 Sport Administration graduate of the University of Louisville, and a native of the Derby City. He has been covering the Cardinals in various capacities since 2017, with a brief stop in Atlanta, Ga. on the Georgia Tech beat. He is also a co-host of the 'From The Pink Seats' podcast on the State of Louisville network. Video gamer, bourbon drinker and dog lover. Find him on Twitter at @Matt_McGavic