Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. New Mexico State
LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (2-3, 0-0 ACC) is set to face New Mexico State (3-4, 0-0 Conference USA) on Sunday, Nov. 26 at 1:00 p.m. EST from the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Aggies:
- Rankings:
| New Mexico State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
AP/USA TODAY | NR/NR | NR/NR |
NET | N/A | N/A |
RPI | 244th | 226th |
SOS | 111th | 141st |
BPI | 192nd | 248th |
KenPom | 255th | 146th |
Torvik | 248th | 169th |
Sagarin | N/A | N/A |
- Team Leaders:
| New Mexico State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points | Femi Odukale (15.0) | Skyy Clark (14.4) |
Rebounds | Femi Odukale (7.5) | Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (9.8) |
Assists | Jordan Rawls (4.5) | Ty-Laur Johnson (3.0) |
Steals | Jaden Harris (1.3) | Two Tied (1.0) |
Blocks | Jonathan Kanyanga (1.0) | Dennis Evans (1.0) |
- Scoring:
| New Mexico State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Points Per Game | 72.3 | 74.4 |
Field Goal % | 40.8% | 41.5% |
FGM/FGA Per Game | 24.2/50.7 | 25.0/60.2 |
Three Point % | 36.4% | 29.5% |
3PTM/3PTA Per Game | 8.0/18.9 | 5.2/17.6 |
Free Throw % | 70.6% | 72.2% |
- Rebounding:
| New Mexico State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Rebounds Per Game | 35.7 | 41.2 |
Off. Reb. Per Game | 8.3 | 14.4 |
Def. Reb. Per Game | 27.3 | 26.8 |
Rebound Margin | 0.7 | 4.2 |
- Defense:
| New Mexico State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Opp. Points Per Game | 70.2 | 74.0 |
Opp. FG% | 41.3% | 43.3% |
Opp. 3PT% | 32.3% | 31.0% |
Steals Per Game | 7.3 | 5.6 |
Blocks Per Game | 2.7 | 3.0 |
- Ball Handling:
| New Mexico State | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
Assists Per Game | 13.8 | 9.6 |
Turnovers Per Game | 11.7 | 13.2 |
Turnover Margin | 2.3 | -1.6 |
Assist/Turnover Ratio | 1.2 | 0.7 |
- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 60.5 percent chance to win against New Mexico State.
- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 78 percent chance to take down the Aggies, with a projected final score of 78-69 in favor of Louisville. By current metrics, Indiana is the third-lowest ranked non-conference opponent that Louisville will face all season.
- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 79 percent chance to take down the Aggies, with a projected final score of 80-71 in favor of Indiana.
- Personal Prediction: Louisville 78, New Mexico State 73.
(Photo of Mike James: Matt Stone - Louisville Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK)
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