Texas Tech travels to Iowa State in heavyweight Big 12 clash with major tournament implications

The Red Raiders are currently a projected 4-seed, and this road test without JT Toppin could change everything.
Feb 24, 2026; Lubbock, Texas, USA; Texas Tech Red Raiders guard Christian Anderson (4) dribbles against the Cincinnati Bearcats in the in the second half at United Supermarkets Arena. Mandatory Credit: Michael C. Johnson-Imagn Images
Feb 24, 2026; Lubbock, Texas, USA; Texas Tech Red Raiders guard Christian Anderson (4) dribbles against the Cincinnati Bearcats in the in the second half at United Supermarkets Arena. Mandatory Credit: Michael C. Johnson-Imagn Images | Michael C. Johnson-Imagn Images

Texas Tech travels to Ames on Saturday for what could be one of the most significant matchups of the Big 12 season—a heavyweight clash with major implications for both the Big 12 tournament and NCAA tournament seeding.

The Red Raiders are riding into this one coming off a solid win against Cincinnati at home, while Iowa State is coming off a road victory at Utah. Both teams enter backed with a prior win, but the stakes for this game couldn't be higher. What happens in Hilton Coliseum on Saturday could shape the trajectory of both programs heading into March.

For Texas Tech, this game marks their first true test without JT Toppin, who suffered a season-ending ACL tear in the late stages of their matchup against Arizona State. The loss of Toppin cannot be understated, he was a cornerstone of the Red Raiders' frontcourt, providing the kind of interior presence that made Texas Tech one of the most dangerous teams in the Big 12.

Now, without him, the Red Raiders must prove they can still compete at the highest level. This heavyweight fight in Ames will reveal just how much depth this roster truly has and whether the supporting cast can step up when it matters most.

This is a huge moment and opportunity for players like Donovan Atwell, Jaylen Petty, and others to rise to the occasion. Christian Anderson will need to shoulder even more of the offensive load, and the bench will need to provide meaningful contributions. We'll see who rises to the challenge when the Red Raiders need it most.

According to ESPN's latest bracketology, Texas Tech is currently projected as a 4-seed in the NCAA tournament. That's a solid position, but it's far from locked in. A loss on the road to Iowa State could drop them to a potential 5-seed, which would mean a tougher path through the bracket and a more dangerous second-round matchup.

On the flip side, an impressive road win against the projected number 1 seed Cyclones could plant Texas Tech firmly as a 4-seed at worst, and potentially push them even higher depending on how other results shake out across the country. Beating a top-ranked team on the road in one of college basketball's toughest environments is the kind of resume-building win that selection committees loves. The latest projections by the committee prove that sentiment.

Beyond the NCAA tournament seeding, there are also significant Big 12 tournament implications at stake. Texas Tech currently sits in a four-way tie for second place in the conference based on their league record, meaning every game down the stretch matters for positioning heading into Kansas City.

A win in Ames would not only separate the Red Raiders from the pack but also give them a critical tiebreaker advantage over one of the conference's best teams. With the Big 12 tournament just around the corner, seeding matters more than ever. Higher seeds mean easier early-round matchups, more favorable game times, and a better path to cutting down the nets.

There's no question that doubt has crept in since Texas Tech lost Toppin. Saturday in Ames is their chance to answer all of those questions emphatically. Iowa State is one of the best teams in the country, and Hilton Coliseum is one of the most intimidating places to play in college basketball. If Texas Tech can go in there and come away with a win without Toppin, it will send the message to the rest of the Big 12 and the entire country, that the Red Raiders are still a legitimate threat.


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Published
Kade Nix
KADE NIX

Kade Nix is a sports writer covering Texas Tech on SI. He specializes in college basketball, college football, and the NFL. In 2021, he founded Kade’s Draft Room, a sports website that ran until 2025, and has an extensive background writing for multiple channels and sports websites. In addition to his writing experience, Kade has hands-on football scouting experience, including time as a Texas area scout for the Hula Bowl, giving him a unique perspective on player evaluation and the college sports landscape.