What Are West Virginia's Chances to Make the NCAA Tournament? An Updated Look

A closer look at WVU's tournament resume and projected overall record.

Ben Queen-Imagn Images

We've reached the halfway point of the 2024-25 regular season and to this point, the West Virginia Mountaineers have positioned themselves nicely to make the NCAA Tournament.

First-year head coach Darian DeVries has done wonders with this group - a team that he assembled in a matter of two months. Expectations for the Mountaineers were rather low, considering the massive roster turnover and not having a very deep rotation to begin with. WVU lost star player Tucker DeVries in early December and has yet to see Jayden Stone in regular season action, yet somehow, Coach DeVries has this team looking like one of the Big 12's best.

West Virginia University guard Javon Small / Christopher Hall - West Virginia on SI

According to Team Rankings, West Virginia has a 76% chance to secure a spot in the big dance. The site runs thousands of computer simulations throughout the season to calculate each team's projected overall record, chances to make the tournament, and what seed they are on pace to become.

As of today, the Mountaineers are on track to finish the regular season with a 19-12 record, giving them a projected seed of 8.8, meaning they are somewhere between an eight and nine seed. They also only have a 2% chance to secure a 1-4 seed. Obviously, this projection will change constantly throughout the season, and with a couple of key wins, the outlook on the Mountaineers could be much different, especially if they find a way to knock off No. 2 Iowa State on Saturday.

NCAA Tournament Resume

Record: 12-4 (3-2)

Record in Quad 1 games: 3-4

Record in Quad 2 games: 2-0

Record in Quad 3 games: 1-0

Record in Quad 4 games: 6-0

Key wins: Gonzaga, Arizona, Kansas.

Bad losses: None.

Net ranking: 33

West Virginia University forward Amani Hansberry / Christopher Hall - West Virginia on SI

Remaining Schedule

1/18 vs. Iowa State

1/21 vs. Arizona State

1/25 at Kansas State

1/29 vs. Houston

2/2 at Cincinnati

2/5 at TCU

2/8 vs. Utah

2/11 vs. BYU

2/15 at Baylor

2/19 vs. Cincinnati

2/22 at Texas Tech

2/25 vs. TCU

3/1 at BYU

3/4 at Utah

3/8 vs. UCF

West Virginia University guard Toby Okani / Christopher Hall - West Virginia on SI

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