2025 Fantasy Baseball: Freddy Peralta Profile, Preview, Predictions

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Freddy Peralta is a contract season with back-to-back 200 strikeout years on his resume. The ticket to an ace season is better command and fewer balls in the seats.
Freddy Peralta, K'ing the Side in the 1st. pic.twitter.com/XpLib7LIUa
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) May 28, 2024
SP – Freddy Peralta, MLW (ADP – 97.0)

Over the past two seasons, Peralta has been a serviceable arm, thanks to his edge in strikeouts and some value in wins. Home runs (1.4 per nine) have been an issue in back-to-back seasons. He had a regression in his command in 2024, leading to a rise in his walk rate (3.5) and a step back in his strikeout rate (10.4).
He pitched well in April (3-0 with a 3.21 ERA, 0.861 WHIP, and 45 strikeouts over 33.2 innings), but Peralta had an ERA higher than 4.00 over his subsequent 18 starts (4.42 ERA, 1.341 WHIP, and 17 home runs over 97.2 innings with 114 strikeouts). The direction of his arm improved over his final 42.1 innings (2.34 ERA, 1.205 WHIP, and 41 strikeouts).
Peralta allowed 17 of his 26 home runs to right-handed batters (.240 BAA). Power (18 home runs) was also an issue at home. He remains a fly-ball pitcher (44.8%).
His average fastball (94.5) was a career-high. Peralta used his changeup (.221 BAA) more last season at the expense of his curveball (.178 BAA). He continues to get most of his strikeouts (112) via his four-seamer (.230 BAA). His slider (.200 BAA) was also a plus pitch.
Fantasy Outlook: Any improvement and success by Peralta starts with better command. All of his pitchers are challenging to hit, but his free passes, paired with too many home runs, lead to too many bad innings. A streaky arm that has underachieved expectations over the past two seasons. Peralta will be a free agent in 2026, giving him extra motivation to be more on point this year.
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With 20+ years of experience in the high-stakes fantasy market, I aim to research and compete at the highest level in baseball and football each season. I've contributed as a writer/analyst for Sports Draft Daily, ScoutPro, Scout Fantasy, Fulltime Fantasy, FFToolbox, and Sports Illustrated Fantasy. I'm honored to be in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship Hall of Fame. My drafting philosophy is risk-averse yet open to betting on potential game-changers. I approach player selection with a neutral perspective, acknowledging that fantasy sports are inherently unpredictable due to injuries, performance dips, and managerial decisions. My work focuses on these main areas: - Season-long fantasy baseball and football - BestBall Baseball and Football Events - Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): DraftKings, FanDuel, and Underdog - Long Shot Player Prop Parlays for NFL I participate in various leagues and contests, including NFBC, NFFC, RTSports, FFPC, DraftKings, Underdog Fantasy, FanDuel, and FFWC, with the goal of leveraging my extensive experience and research for success in each game format. A fantasy follower can expect in-depth profiles of NFL and MLB players, along with season-long and weekly projections for each fantasy football season. In addition, I have many strategy articles to help develop fantasy players' learning curves.
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