Fantasy Baseball Impact of Alex Bregman Signing With Boston Red Sox

Former Houston Astros third baseman Alex Bregman
Former Houston Astros third baseman Alex Bregman | Ken Blaze-Imagn Images

Editor's Note: This is a developing story. More details to follow.

Former Houston Astros third basemen Alex Bregman has a new home. The top remaining free agent in Major League Baseball has reportedly agreed to a three-year, $120 million deal with the Boston Red Sox.

Alex Bregman Fantasy Baseball Outlook

3B Alex Bregman, BOS (ADP – 142.6)

Bregman’s best asset over the past couple of seasons was his approach (strikeout rate – 11.9 and walk rate – 13.0). Last year, he posted his lowest walk rate (6.9) since his rookie campaign in 2016. His contact batting average (.305) has been in a tight range over the past three seasons (.301, .305, and .305), giving him no chance of batting higher than .300. Bregman finished with a career-low in his RBI rate (13.1 – 16.4 in his career).

Over the final four months of last season, he hit .284 with 61 runs, 19 home runs, 49 RBIs, and one steal. His season started with empty stats in April (.216/5//1/10/1 over 102 at-bats) that echoed for weeks from the great southwest. Bregman struggled against lefties (.221/13/6/16/1 over 113 at-bats).

Despite his down season, he finished with a five-year high in his exit velocity (89.1) and a new top in his hard-hit rate (40.1). His fly-ball rate (45.3) has been home run-inducing over the past three years, with only baby steps up the chain with his HR/FB rate over the past four seasons (9.8, 10.0, 10.1, and 11.5).

Fantasy Outlook: Bregman was a free agent commanding a hefty contract that he may have deserved based on his success in 2018 and 2019. His recent path now paints him as a neutral hitter with an 85/25/90 skill set. Due to his unknown 2025 home, Bregman had about a three-round discounted price in early January ADP (142.6) in the high-stakes market. Now with the Red Sox, the championship-winning infielder will see his ADP rise.

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Matt Brandon
MATT BRANDON

Matt Brandon has spent more than a decade in the fantasy sports and sports media world, with stops at Scout Media, CBS Sports, Sports Illustrated, DrRoto.com, Fantasy SP, FullTime Fantasy, and several other industry staples. A three-time Top-10 finisher in FantasyPros’ national rankings competition, Brandon has also captured multiple major DFS tournament wins on FanDuel and DraftKings. His true expertise lies in season-long fantasy football and fantasy basketball, along with sports betting analysis. A lifelong New Yorker, he proudly bleeds blue for his Giants, Knicks, Rangers, and Mets. Brandon also covers Major League Baseball, with a particular focus on the Seattle Mariners, San Francisco Giants, and Philadelphia Phillies

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