Predicting Arizona State's Big 12 Record Heading Into League Play

The Sun Devils head into league play with a 9-4 record - and hopes of another NCAA tournament berth.
ASU Sun Devils head coach Bobby Hurley reacts after a referee call during their game against the Oregon State Beavers at Desert Financial Arena in Tempe on Dec. 21, 2025.
ASU Sun Devils head coach Bobby Hurley reacts after a referee call during their game against the Oregon State Beavers at Desert Financial Arena in Tempe on Dec. 21, 2025. | Joe Rondone/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

TEMPE -- Not much time has passed since Arizona State's non-conference season ending with a loss to Oregon State on Sunday and today - other than the fact that the Sun Devils are now just over a week away from ushering in their second campaign as members of the Big 12.

Arizona State on SI once again predicts how the conference season will go - game-by-game - now knowing more about the team in a more expansive sample.

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Arizona State Sun Devils Moe Odum (5) looks at the net before taking a shot during a game against the Southern Utah Thunderbirds at Desert Financial Arena in Tempe on Nov. 4, 2025. | Diannie Chavez/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Colorado: Win

Arizona State takes down a squad that has overachieved thus far in 2025-26 under the leadership of Tad Boyle.

@BYU: Loss

A trip to the Marriott Center at the front end of Big 12 play isn't for the faint of heart - Brigham Young has an exceptional big three that is headlined by potential number one overall pick in the 2026 NBA draft in AJ Dybantsa.

Kansas State: Win

Kansas State is currently overachieving to an extent in their own right under fourth-year head coach Jerome Tang. Senior guard P.J. Haggerty is averaging nearly 23 PPG, but the Sun Devils take this game in Tempe.

@Arizona: Loss

Arizona State is going into a rivalrly game against the top team in the country - in a venue that they have only won five games in since the turn of the century. This seems to be an uphill climb.

@Houston: Loss

This will cap off an incredibly challenging start to Big 12 play - don't expect an upset from ASU here.

West Virginia: Win

The West Virginia matchup is shaping up to be a fascinating matchup - home-court advantage and

Cincinnati: Win

Cincinnati has struggled this season, posting a NET rating that is sub-100. However, the program does have potential behind freshman G Shon Abaev.

@UCF: Loss

UCF has been one of the more under-appreciated teams in the nation this season alongside the Sun Devils. A trip to Orlando should be a toss-up on paper.

Arizona: Loss

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Mar 4, 2025; Tucson, Arizona, USA; Arizona Wildcats head coach Tommy Lloyd shakes hands with Arizona State Sun Devils head coach Bobby Hurley before the start of the game at McKale Center. Mandatory Credit: Aryanna Frank-Imagn Images | Aryanna Frank-Imagn Images

The return trip to Tempe between the rivals has potential to be a contentious battle. Arizona ultimately has enough firepower to get over the finish line here.

@Utah: Win

Arizona State absolutely has to win this game - and they should behind the power of Moe Odum.

@Colorado: Loss

Colorado gets revenge and a season series split in the contest in Boulder.

Oklahoma State: Win

Steve Lutz's squad is off to a phenomenal start, but Arizona State is a less-than-ideal lineal matchup for the Cowboys.

Texas Tech: Win

Hurley picks up his true signature win of the season, which is one that his team nearly had in a road game against the Red Raiders late last season.

@Baylor: Loss

Baylor is another opportunity to keep the positive momentum going, but the Bears are posturing to be a team that will drastically improve during conference play - especially in being headlined by freshman phenom Tounde Yessoufou.

@TCU: Win

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Mar 17, 2023; Denver, CO, USA; Arizona State Sun Devils guard DJ Horne (0) makes a game tying shot late in the second half over TCU Horned Frogs guard Rondel Walker (11) at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Michael Ciaglo-Imagn Images | Michael Ciaglo-Imagn Images

TCU is yet another Big 12 squad that has overachieved to this stage of the season, appearing to have all the bearings of a tournament squad. This does appear to be a game that the Sun Devils should steal behind C Massamba Diop.

Utah: Win

A must-win for Arizona State after the Oregon State loss. Do not expect the Sun Devils to fall short here.

Kansas: Loss

This is another conspicuous opportunity for a marquee win, but freshman superstar Darryn Peterson will be incredibly challenging to contain.

@Iowa State: Loss

Iowa State appears to be an absolute machine this season - defeating Purdue by over 30 points was all the sign needed to confirm as much. A trip to Hilton Colliseum to close the regular season is a daunting task for ASU.

Total Record: 18-13 (9-9 Big 12)

18 wins should put the Sun Devils on the precipice of a first tournament berth since the 2022-23 season, although further wins in the Big 12 tournament would be encouraged.

Read more on why the Arizona State men's basketball team will exceed expectations in the 2025-26 season here, and on why the bright future of the football program isn’t dimmed by the loss to Arizona here.

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Kevin Hicks
KEVIN HICKS

Kevin Hicks is an Arizona State alumni and now serves as the Arizona State Beat Writer On SI.