LOOK: Two computer models dramatically disagree on Auburn vs Mississippi State

Auburn football needs a rebound win badly.

The Tigers are off to their first 0-4 start in SEC play since the dreadful 3-9 season in 2012. The offense has been horrid, the defense has been holding on, and the staff seems to be trying to rally the troops for what should be a much easier back half of the 2023 slate.

The first game of a stretch of easier contests is at home against Mississippi State, a team the Tigers have dominated in their all-time series.

However, because of the inconsistent nature of both teams this season, this feels like more of a toss up than a strong lean in Auburn's favor.

According to a computer model created by College Football Nerds, the game actually swings slightly in Mississippi State's favor.

The model projects the Bulldogs to win 24.5 to 23.2 over Hugh Freeze and the Tigers. A loss in Jordan-Hare would be Auburn's second-straight home loss to MSU and their fifth-straight loss this season.

However, there is another computer model that predicts the Tigers will win and cover the current spread of -4.5.

CFBGraphs' model believes Auburn will beat Mississippi State 22.16 to 14.50. An eight-point victory to get the Tigers back on track this season would be big.

Auburn's four upcoming games include Mississippi State, Vanderbilt, Arkansas, and New Mexico State.

LOOK: Two computer models dramatically disagree on Auburn vs Mississippi State

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