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Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Virginia

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (4-26, 2-17 ACC) is set to face Virginia (22-6, 14-5 ACC) on Saturday, Mar. 4 at 2:00 p.m. EST at John Paul Jones Arena. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers:

- Rankings:

VirginiaLouisville

AP/USA TODAY

13th/12th

NR/NR

NET

30th

309th

RPI

13th

307th

SOS

46th

64th

BPI

24th

295th

KenPom

38th

284th

Torvik

34th

279th

Sagarin

37th

218th

- Team Leaders:

VirginiaLouisville

Points

Armaan Franklin (12.4)

El Ellis (17.8)

Rebounds

Jayden Gardner (5.5)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (5.5)

Assists

Kihei Clark (5.7)

El Ellis (4.4)

Steals

Reece Beekman (1.6)

El Ellis (0.9)

Blocks

Kadin Shedrick (1.2)

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (0.7)

- Scoring:

VirginiaLouisville

Points Per Game

67.9

64.1

Field Goal %

44.5%

42.2%

FGM/FGA Per Game

23.9/50.1

22.6/53.5

Three Point %

36.0%

33.2%

3PTM/3PTA Per Game

7.1/18.3

6.4/19.3

Free Throw %

69.7%

73.7%

- Rebounding:

VirginiaLouisville

Rebounds Per Game

32.3

32.6

Off. Reb. Per Game

7.8

9.3

Def. Reb. Per Game

22.3

23.3

Rebound Margin

0.3

-0.7

- Defense:

VirginiaLouisville

Opp. Points Per Game

60.5

75.7

Opp. FG%

41.9%

46.8%

Opp. 3PT%

34.6%

35.5%

Steals Per Game

6.9

4.6

Blocks Per Game

4.2

2.8

- Ball Handling:

VirginiaLouisville

Assists Per Game

15.8

9.4

Turnovers Per Game

8.7

15.2

Turnover Margin

3.8

-4.7

Assist/Turnover Ratio

1.8

0.6

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 1.5 percent chance to win against Virginia.

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 4 percent chance to take down the Cavaliers, with a projected final score of 74-55 in favor of Virginia.

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cardinals have a 4 percent chance to take down the Cavaliers, with a projected final score of 73-55 in favor of Virginia.

- Personal Prediction: Virginia 70, Louisville 59.

(Photo of El Ellis: Jamie Rhodes - USA TODAY Sports)

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