Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Clemson

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Tigers for their ACC Tournament matchup, and who the statistical models favor.

Jan 7, 2025; Louisville, Kentucky, USA; Louisville Cardinals guard J'Vonne Hadley (1) drives to the basket against Clemson Tigers forward Ian Schieffelin (4) during the second half at KFC Yum! Center. Louisville defeated Clemson 74-64. Mandatory Credit: Jamie Rhodes-Imagn Images / Jamie Rhodes-Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (26-6, 18-2 ACC) is set to face Clemson (27-5, 18-2 ACC) on Friday, Mar. 14 at 9:30 p.m. EST at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, N.C. in the ACC Tournament semifinals. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Tigers:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	Clemson	Louisville
AP/USAT	10th/10th	13th/13th
SOS	60th	46th
SOR	10th	12th
BPI	17th	28th
NET	22nd	26th
RPI	14th	17th
KenPom	19th	25th
Torvik	20th	22nd
EvanMiya	12th	19th

Team Leaders

	Clemson	Louisville
Points	Chase Hunter (16.2)	Chucky Hepburn (16.4)
Rebounds	Ian Schieffelin (9.3)	J'Vonne Hadley (7.3)
Assists	Jaeden Zackary (3.2)	Chucky Hepburn (5.9)
Steals	Jaeden Zackery (2.0)	Chucky Hepburn (2.4)
Blocks	Viktor Lakhin (1.5)	James Scott (1.1)

Scoring

	Clemson	Louisville
Points Per Game	76.4	79.2
Field Goal %	46.8%	45.7%
FGM/FGA Per Game	27.6/58.9	27.1/59.3
Three Point %	37.3%	33.3%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	8.6/23.0	9.6/28.8
Free Throw %	76.4%	74.5%
FTM/FTA Per Game	12.8/16.7	15.3/20.6

Rebounding

	Clemson	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	35.3	37.4
Off. Reb. Per Game	11.1	11.1
Def. Reb. Per Game	24.2	26.3
Rebound Margin	3.1	4.2

Defense

	Clemson	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	65.3	68.7
Opp. FG%	42.7%	42.6%
Opp. 3PT%	32.3%	33.6%
Steals Per Game	7.4	6.5
Blocks Per Game	3.7	2.8
Turnovers Forced Per Game	13.3	13.1

Ball Handling

	Clemson	Louisville
Assists Per Game	14.6	14.2
Turnovers Per Game	10.5	11.3
Turnover Margin	2.8	1.8
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.4	1.3

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 39.0 percent chance to win against Clemson. The Cardinals have a BPI rating of 13.9 (28th overall), whereas the Tigers have a BPI rating of 16.5 (17th overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have an 46 percent chance to take down the Tigers, with a projected final score of 71-70 in favor of CU. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +22.51 (25th overall), whereas Clemson has an adjusted efficiency margin of +24.21 (19th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 49 percent chance to take down the Tigers, with a projected final score of 71-70 in favor of CU. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9262 (22nd overall), whereas Clemson has a "Barthag" of .9283 (20th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Louisville 71, Clemson 70.

(Photo of Ian Schieffelin, J'Vonne Hadley: Jamie Rhodes - Imagn Images)

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