Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Clemson

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Tigers for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

Mar 14, 2025; Charlotte, NC, USA; Louisville Cardinals guard J'Vonne Hadley (1) goes to the basket against Clemson Tigers center Viktor Lakhin (0) during the second half at Spectrum Center. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-Imagn Images | Jim Dedmon-Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (20-8, 9-6 ACC) is set to face Clemson (20-8, 10-5 ACC) on Saturday, Feb. 28 at 2:00 p.m. EST from Littlejohn Coliseum in Clemson, South Caroline. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Tigers:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	Clemson	Louisville
AP/USAT	NR/RV	20th/24th
SOS	58th	40th
SOR	40th	26th
NET	38th	16th
WAB	39th	23rd
RPI	42nd	27th
BPI	31st	10th
KenPom	40th	17th
Torvik	36th	18th
EvanMiya	41st	19th

Team Leaders

	Clemson	Louisville
Points	R.J. Godfrey (11.5)	Mikel Brown Jr. (18.9)
Rebounds	Carter Welling (5.6)	Sananda Fru (6.4)
Assists	Dillon Hunter (3.0)	Mikel Brown Jr. (4.8)
Steals	Jestin Porter (1.3)	Mikel Brown Jr. (1.2)
Blocks	Two Tied (0.6)	Sananda Fru (1.4)

Scoring

	Clemson	Louisville
Points Per Game	74.5	86.4
Field Goal %	45.8	47.0
FGM/FGA Per Game	25.6/56.0	29.0/61.7
Three Point %	33.9	36.1
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	8.2/24.1	11.9/32.9
Free Throw %	72.6	77.8
FTM/FTA Per Game	15.1/20.8	16,5.21.2

Rebounding

	Clemson	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	34.8	39.5
Off. Reb. Per Game	9.5	11.8
Def. Reb. Per Game	25.4	27.7
Rebound Margin	3.2	6.1

Defense

	Clemson	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	65.6	72.0
Opp. FG%	41.2	41.6
Opp. 3PT%	31.5	32.4
Steals Per Game	6.1	7.2
Blocks Per Game	2.6	3.4
Turnovers Forced Per Game	11.6	12.2

Ball Handling

	Clemson	Tigers
Assists Per Game	13.0	17.5
Turnovers Per Game	16.3	11.9
Turnover Margin	1.8	0.3
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.32	1.46

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, the Cardinals have a 58.3 percent chance to win against the Tigers. Louisville has a BPI rating of 19.9 (10th overall), whereas Clemson has a BPI rating of 14.6 (31st overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 56 percent chance to take down the Tigers, with a projected final score of 74-72 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +26.35 (17th overall), whereas Clemson has an adjusted efficiency margin of +18.96 (40th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 52 percent chance to take down the Tigers, with a projected final score of 72-71 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9397 (18th overall), whereas Clemson has a "Barthag" of .8869 (36th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Clemson 79, Louisville 75.

(Photo of J'Vonne Hadley: Jim Dedmon - Imagn Images)

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