Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Miami

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Hurricanes for their ACC Tournament matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

Mar 7, 2026; Coral Gables, Florida, USA; Louisville Cardinals forward Sananda Fru (13) battles for a loose ball against Miami Hurricanes forward Shelton Henderson (7) at Watsco Center. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Romance-Imagn Images | Jeff Romance-Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (23-9, 11-7 ACC) is set to face Miami (24-7. 13-5 ACC) on Thursday, Mar. 12 at 2:30 p.m. EST at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, N.C. in the ACC Tournament quarterfinals. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Hurricanes:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	Miami	Louisville
AP/USAT	RV/25th	24th/24th
SOS	81st	46th
SOR	28th	25th
NET	32nd	13th
WAB	27th	22nd
RPI	53rd	25th
BPI	40th	11th
KenPom	29th	16th
Torvik	35th	14th
EvanMiya	29th	18th

Team Leaders

	Miami	Louisville
Points	Malik Reneau (19.0)	Ryan Conwell (18.6)
Rebounds	Ernest Udeh (9.4)	Sananda Fru (6.1)
Assists	Tre Donaldson (5.9)	Mikel Brown Jr. (4.7)
Steals	Tru Washington (1.9)	Ryan Conwell (1.2)
Blocks	Ernest Udeh (1.4)	Sananda Fru (1.4)

Scoring

	Miami	Louisville
Points Per Game	82.7	85.1
Field Goal %	50.6	47.0
FGM/FGA Per Game	30.3/60.0	28.8/61.3
Three Point %	35.1	35.9
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	6.7/19.1	11.7/32.5
Free Throw %	68.1	76.9
FTM/FTA Per Game	15.3/22.5	15.8/20.6

Rebounding

	Miami	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	37.8	38.5
Off. Reb. Per Game	12.4	11.4
Def. Reb. Per Game	25.4	27.1
Rebound Margin	8.4	5.4

Defense

	Miami	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	70.7	72.0
Opp. FG%	44.1	42.2
Opp. 3PT%	35.5	32.6
Steals Per Game	7.9	6.9
Blocks Per Game	3.3	3.2
Turnovers Forced Per Game	12.8	12.0

Ball Handling

	Miami	Louisville
Assists Per Game	16.6	17.1
Turnovers Per Game	11.5	11.6
Turnover Margin	1.3	0.4
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.45	1.48

Predictions

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 62 percent chance to take down the Hurricanes, with a projected final score of 81-77 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +26.10 (16th overall), whereas Miami has an adjusted efficiency margin of +21.15 (29th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 67 percent chance to take down the Canes, with a projected final score of 82-77 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9389 (14th overall), whereas Miami has a "Barthag" of .8832 (35th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 79, Miami 75.

(Photo of Shelton Henderson, Ryan Conwell, Sananda Fru: Jeff Romance - Imagn Images)

You can follow Louisville Cardinals On SI for future coverage by liking us on Facebook, Twitter/X and Instagram:

Facebook - @LouisvilleOnSI
Twitter/X - @LouisvilleOnSI
Instagram - @louisvilleonsi

You can also follow Deputy Editor Matthew McGavic at @Matt_McGavic on Twitter/X and @mattmcgavic.bsky.social on Bluesky