How Many Big Ten Football Games will Nebraska Win This Fall?

If Nebraska is to make a jump in year three of the Matt Rhule era, a winning record in Big Ten play will be necessary.
Nebraska Cornhuskers quarterback Dylan Raiola (15) hypes up the crowd in 2024 against the Wisconsin Badgers at Memorial Stadium.
Nebraska Cornhuskers quarterback Dylan Raiola (15) hypes up the crowd in 2024 against the Wisconsin Badgers at Memorial Stadium. | Dylan Widger-Imagn Images

Nebraska football has not won more than three Big Ten Conference games since 2016.

But that could change this fall. According to the KFord Ratings Projected Big Ten Standings, the Huskers have a good shot to eclipse that number.

For Nebraska's nine Big Ten games this fall, the Huskers host Michigan, Michigan State, Northwestern, USC, and Iowa. NU will also go on the road to face Maryland, Minnesota, UCLA, and Penn State.

Here is Nebraska's record against each opponent since joining the Big Ten*:

  • Michigan 2-5
  • Michigan State 4-4
  • Maryland 2-1
  • Minnesota 5-8
  • Northwestern 7-6
  • USC 0-2
  • UCLA 1-3
  • Penn State 4-1
  • Iowa 4-10

*The USC and UCLA records include bowl games since 2011.

According to KFord Ratings, the Huskers have a 97% chance to get to that three-win mark. The chances drop to 88% for four wins, 66% for five wins, and 36% for six wins. If you want to get crazy, Nebraska has a 13% chance at seven wins and a 2% shot at eight wins.

Nebraska Cornhuskers head coach Matt Rhule and players celebrate after the 2024 Pinstripe Bowl.
Nebraska Cornhuskers head coach Matt Rhule and players celebrate after the 2024 Pinstripe Bowl against the Boston College Eagles at Yankee Stadium. | Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

Nebraska last notched seven conference wins in 2012. You have to go back to Tom Osborne's final season in 1997 to find the last of two eight-win conference runs.

Looking at the average for the projected standings, Nebraska is expected to get to five wins and finish eighth in the league. Ohio State has the best chance to run the table, with a 30% shot at getting to nine wins, followed by 14% for Oregon, 11% for Penn State, 5% for Michigan, and 1% for USC.

Illinois and Indiana are both also slated to finish just ahead of Nebraska.

Lil’ Red and Herbie Husker perform with the Scarlets in 2024.
Lil’ Red and Herbie Husker perform with the Scarlets in 2024 during the third quarter between the Nebraska Cornhuskers and the Colorado Buffaloes at Memorial Stadium. | Dylan Widger-Imagn Images

Last year was the first season without divisions since Nebraska joined the Big Ten in 2011. The Huskers went 3-6 in the league and tied for 12th. After making a bowl appearance for the first time since 2016 and winning a bowl for the first time since 2015, Nebraska and third-year head coach Matt Rhule are looking to make a jump in 2025.

Nebraska Football 2025 Schedule

  • Aug. 28 (Thursday) vs. Cincinnati (Kansas City) 8 p.m. CDT on ESPN
  • Sep. 6 vs. Akron 6:30 p.m. CDT on BTN
  • Sep. 13 vs. Houston Christian 11 a.m. CDT on FS1
  • Sep. 20 vs. Michigan 2:30 p.m. CDT on CBS
  • Oct. 4 vs. Michigan State 11/2:30/3 CDT
  • Oct. 11 at Maryland TBA
  • Oct. 17 (Friday) at Minnesota 7 p.m. CDT on FOX
  • Oct. 25 vs. Northwestern TBA
  • Nov. 1 vs. USC TBA
  • Nov. 8 at UCLA TBA
  • Nov. 22 at Penn State TBA
  • Nov. 28 (Black Friday) vs. Iowa 11 a.m. CST on CBS

Home games are bolded.

Have a question or comment for Kaleb? Send an email to kalebhenry.huskermax@gmail.com.


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Kaleb Henry
KALEB HENRY

Kaleb Henry is an award-winning sports reporter, covering collegiate athletics since 2014 via radio, podcasting, and digital journalism. His experience with Big Ten Conference teams goes back more than a decade, including time covering programs such as the Nebraska Cornhuskers, Oregon Ducks, and USC Trojans. He has contributed to Sports Illustrated since 2021. Kaleb has won multiple awards for his sports coverage from the Nebraska Broadcasters Association and Midwest Broadcast Journalists Association. Prior to working in sports journalism, Kaleb was a Division I athlete on the Southern Illinois University-Edwardsville Track and Field team where he discussed NCAA legislation as SIUE's representative to the Ohio Valley Conference Student-Athlete Advisory Committee. 

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