Where Football Polls and Metrics Have Nebraska Placed in Week 11

Huskers improve in one ranking, despite loss to USC
Nebraska running back Emmett Johnson gains yards against USC defense on Saturday.
Nebraska running back Emmett Johnson gains yards against USC defense on Saturday. | Dylan Widger-Imagn Images

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Despite losing to USC on Saturday night, Nebraska actually improved in one of the seven polls and rankings we monitor.

Nebraska’s 21-17 loss to the Trojans didn’t stop ESPN’s Football Power Index from increasing the Huskers’ ranking to 32 from 34.

The Huskers went down in four of the other polls and rankings, and were dropped in the Coaches Poll.

Nebraska’s best ranking is 28th in ESPN’s SP+ poll. The Huskers were 27th last week, also their best ranking. The Huskers’ highest ranking is 36th in The Athletic’s ranking of all FBS teams.

Each Wednesday, we’ll take a look at where seven national polls and rankings place Nebraska’s football team. Nebraska ranks 33.4 in an average of five polls where it is ranked, an increase from last week’s average of 32.

The Huskers (6-3, 3-3 Big Ten), who will move forward without injured sophomore quarterback Dylan Raiola, next play at 8 p.m. CT Saturday at UCLA (3-5, 3-2).

The polls and rankings we monitor are:

* Associated Press
* The Athletic
* CBS Sports
* US LBM Coaches Poll
* ESPN’s Football Power Index
* ESPN’s SP+ rankings
* Massey Ratings

Associated Press Top 25

Nebraska was not ranked for the third consecutive week in the gold-standard AP Top 25 Poll. Its last appearance was Oct. 12, when the Huskers were ranked 25th after defeating Maryland. Since then, Nebraska has lost to Minnesota and USC, and defeated Northwestern. Eleven teams were among “others receiving votes” in the AP Poll this week but not the Huskers. At No. 36 was Arizona State, which garnered four votes. USC moved up three spots to 20th after defeating Nebraska.

Cincinnati (7-2), a 20-17 loser to Nebraska in Week One, dropped to 25 from 17 after losing to Utah, 45-14, on Saturday.

The Athletic

Nebraska went down eight places, going from 28 to 36. In The Athletic’s preseason rankings, Nebraska was 39th.

CBS Sports 136 Rankings

Nebraska dropped four places in CBS Sports’ rankings, going to 38 from 34.

US LBM Coaches Poll

The Huskers are not mentioned in this poll. They were 38th last week. Forty teams were among “others receiving votes,” but not the Huskers.

ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI)

The Huskers improved to 32 from 34. Nebraska’s six previous rankings: 21, 21, 22, 23, 31, 34.

Nebraska linebacker Derek Wacker celebrates tackle against USC.
Nebraska linebacker Derek Wacker celebrates tackle against USC. | Dylan Widger-Imagn Images

Nebraska’s odds decreased in two of six FPI odds, stayed the same in three of the odds and since the Huskers have won six games, their odds for bowl eligibility is 100 percent. Nebraska’s projected win total is now 7.5 to 4.5 losses, which is down from last week’s 8.0 wins and 4.0 losses.

Here are FPI’s odds for Nebraska (with last week’s odds in parentheses):

* 100 percent chance of winning six games (same as last week; Nebraska is bowl eligible)
* 7.5 projected wins to 4.5 projected losses (8.0 wins and 4.0 losses last week)
* 0.0 percent chance of winning the Big Ten (same as last week)
* 0.0 percent chance of making the College Football Playoff (1.0 percent chance last week)
* 0.0 percent chance of making the national championship game (same as last week)
* 0.0 percent chance of winning the national championship (same as last week)

ESPN’s SP+ rankings

The Huskers went from 27 to 28.

As ESPN writer Bill Connelly says about his SP+ ratings: “It’s a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency … SP+ is intended to be predictive and forward-facing.

“It is simply a measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football. If you’re lucky or unimpressive in a win, your rating will probably fall. If you’re strong and unlucky in a loss, it will probably rise.”

Massey Ratings

Massey Ratings are a compilation of 40 different college football rankings. In the consensus of the 40 rankings, the Huskers ranked 33. Last week they were 31.


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Chuck Bausman
CHUCK BAUSMAN

Chuck Bausman is a writer for Nebraska on SI. Chuck formerly was the Executive Sports Editor of the Philadelphia Daily News, Executive Sports Editor of the Courier-Post in South Jersey and Sports Copy Editor for the Detroit Free Press. He has been a Big Ten enthusiast for nearly forever. He learned how to cuss by watching Philly sports. You can reach Chuck at: bausmac@icloud.com