Heels Bid to Stop Bleeding Against Red-Hot Duke

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In the storied annals of college basketball, few rivalries burn as brightly as the one between the North Carolina Tar Heels and the Duke Blue Devils.
Tobacco's Road Latest Chapter: A Rivalry on the Brink
Tonight, at the Dean E. Smith Center, the No. 14 Tar Heels play host to the No. 4 Blue Devils in the 266th chapter of the Tobacco Road saga looking to snap a three-game losing streak to their archrivals. With ESPN’s College Gameday atmosphere, national television coverage on ESPN, and the raucous home crowd ready to rock Chapel Hill, this top-15 showdown features star freshman Caleb Wilson for the Tar Heels and Cameron Boozer for the Blue Devils in what promises to be an electric, high-stake battle that could shift momentum in the ACC race.
“I’m just ready for that game.” 🔥
— SLAM University (@slam_university) February 6, 2026
Caleb Wilson brings energy every night, but Duke was circled on his calendar before the season even started 🥶🎱 pic.twitter.com/JK97aZMGGo
Duke enters on a scorching 10-game winning streak, undefeated in the ACC this season, and boasting the nation’s best two-season record at 56-5. Meanwhile, UNC rides a four-game surge, averaging 83.1 points per contest and remaining unbeaten at home (13-0) with an average margin of 21.3 points. The odds list UNC as 5.5-point underdogs, but history shows that in this rivalry, rankings and spreads often mean little.
So, how can the Tar Heels flip the script and send the Blue Devils packing? It starts with leveraging their strengths while exploiting Duke’s vulnerabilities. Here’s a breakdown of the keys to victory.
Inside the Paint: Where Wilson and Veesaar Could Decide Everything
UNC’s frontcourt tandem of freshman sensation Caleb Wilson and redshirt junior center Henri Veesaar could be the game-changer. Wilson, a midseason watch list darling for multiple national awards, leads the team with 20.0 points and 9.8 rebounds per game, boasting 11 double-doubles and a knack for 20-plus-point outings (16 this season, a UNC freshman record).
Veesaar complements him perfectly, averaging 16.8 points and 9.0 rebounds while leading the ACC in double-doubles (12) and field goal percentage (62.4%). Together, they account for 44.3% of UNC’s scoring, 47.1% of rebounds, and a whopping 60% field goal efficiency.
By pounding the ball inside early and often, Wilson and Veesaar can draw fouls on Boozer and Duke’s interior defenders. Duke thrives when committing 15 or fewer fouls (64-2 under coach Jon Scheyer), but struggles more (46-2) when fouled up. Forcing Boozer into foul trouble could disrupt Duke’s rhythm and open lanes for UNC’s guards.
Bench Surge: UNC's Secret Weapon Against Duke's Depth
Seth Trimble ahead of his final game vs Duke at the Smith Center
— Rodd Baxley (@RoddBaxley) February 7, 2026
“I’m really just cherishing this matchup, this opportunity. A blessing like this, there’s a lot of people in this world that would die to be in my position. So I’m really making sure that I make the best out of it. pic.twitter.com/At3MuXdyQi
One of UNC’s most encouraging developments is their bench production, averaging over 30 points per game during the current winning streak– a stark improvement from their earlier 18.9 average, which ranked 280th nationally. Players like senior guard Seth Trimble (who has scored 10+ against Duke three times in his career), freshman guard Derek Dixon, junior guard Jaydon Young, and guard Luke Bogavac (team-high 33 three-pointers) provide depth that can wear down opponents.
UNC is on pace for a program record in three-pointers made per game (8.73), with Bogavac leading the charge. Stretching the floor will pull Duke’s bigs away from the rim, creating mismatches. Combined with their home invincibility– where they’ve dominated by wide margins– this could turn the Smith Center into a frenzy.
Duke’s defense allows just 63.6 points per game (7th nationally), but UNC’s recent offensive explosion (85+ in four straight) suggests they can crack it. The Heels are also the least-fouling team in the ACC )14.9 per game), which could keep Duke off the line where players like Isaiah Evans excel (.880 FT%).
Duke and UNC will meet in Chapel Hill this weekend.
— Josh Graham (@JoshGrahamShow) February 6, 2026
Here are my Top 5 games in the history of America’s greatest sports rivalry.
What would be on your list? pic.twitter.com/D4kikfWcMk
In a rivalry where anything can happen, UNC has the tools to end the streak. With a potent frontcourt, surging bench, stifling defense, and the roar of 21,000 fans, the Tar Heels can reclaim their dominance.
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Brandon J. Rincon brings a deep appreciation and a gift of storytelling to his role as a college sports writer On SI. A graduate of Albion College with a degree in communications, Rincon brings extensive experience as both a former college athlete and a Daily Telegram employee.