Duke vs. UNC Prediction, Odds for College Basketball on Saturday, Feb. 7

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The next chapter in the storied rivalry between Duke and UNC is set to take place tonight. It'll be the first of two meetings between the two teams this season, and as of today, they're both ranked in the top 15 in the country.
The Blue Devils are the No. 4-ranked team in the country, sporting an impressive 21-1 record with a spotless 10-0 record in the ACC. UNC is the No. 14-ranked team in the country at 18-4, with impressive wins against the likes of Kansas, Kentucky, and Virginia.
Let's dive into the odds and my best bet for this marquee matchup.
Duke vs. UNC Odds, Spread, and Total
Spread
- Duke -5.5 (-118)
- UNC +5.5 (-104)
Moneyline
- Duke -295
- UNC +235
Total
- OVER 152.5 (-115)
- UNDER 152.5 (-105)
Duke vs. UNC How to Watch
- Date: Saturday, February 7
- Game Time: 6:30 pm ET
- Venue: Dean E. Smith Center
- How to Watch (TV): ESPN
- Duke Record: 21-1 (10-0 in ACC)
- UNC Record: 18-4 (6-3 in ACC)
Duke vs. UNC Betting Trends
- Duke is 5-1 ATS in its last six games
- The UNDER is 5-1 in Duke's last six games
- UNC is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games vs. Duke
- Duke has won 20 straight games vs. ACC opponents
- The OVER is 8-0 in UNC's last eight games
- UNC has won 13 straight home games
- UNC is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games played on a Saturday
Duke vs. UNC Key Player to Watch
- Cameron Boozer, F - Duke Blue Devils
Cameron Boozer is now the -2000 favorite to win the Wooden Award as the nation's best player. That's an implied probability of 95.24%. He leads the team in points per game (23.3), rebounds (9.9), assists (4.0), and steals (1.9). He can take over a game against any team in the country. Let's see if he can help take down Duke's biggest rival.
Duke vs. UNC Prediction and Pick
In today's edition of Daily Dunk, I wrote about why I'm laying the points with Duke as a road favorite:
Let's start with the obvious. Duke is the better basketball team in this ACC rivalry matchup. The Blue Devils are rightfully ranked inside the top five in the country, ranking 15th in effective field goal percentage and second in defensive efficiency. UNC, by comparison, ranks 42nd in effective field goal percentage and 44th in defensive efficiency.
Duke also has the advantage stylistically in this game. The Tar Heels' biggest weakness is their perimeter defense, allowing teams to shoot 341.% from beyond the arc, which ranks 186th in the country. That's bad news against a Duke team that ranks 86th in three-point shot rate.
Duke is going to continue to prove its the best team in the ACC.
Pick: Duke -5.5 (-118) via FanDuel
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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.
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