Wake Forest vs Boston College: Line Movement, Betting Trends, Spread Predictions, Player Props
Gameday info:
Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
TV: ACCN
Weather: High of 70, low of 44 degrees
Moneyline: Wake Forest (-1400), Boston College (+800)
Spread: Wake Forest -19.5 (-110), Boston College +19.5 (-110)
O/U: 60.5
Line Movement:
| Date | Wake Forest Spread | Boston College Spread | Wake Forest ML | Boston College ML | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/22 | -19.5 (-110) | +19.5 (-110) | -1400 | +800 | 60.5 (-105) | 60.5 (-115) |
10/20 | -20.5 (-110) | +20.5 (-110) | -1429 | +810 | 60.5 (-105) | 60.5 (-115) |
10/18 | -20.5 (-115) | +20.5 (-105) | -1667 | +860 | 61.5 (-105) | 61.5 (-115) |
10/16 | -20.5 (-115) | +20.5 (-105) | -2500 | +1060 | 61.5 (-115) | 61.5 (-105) |
READ: ACC Football Week 8: Game Previews and Predictions
There has been some slight line movement towards Boston College, as the spread swung a point in their favor overnight.
Betting Trends:
Season Record ATS: Wake Forest (5-1), Boston College (1-5)
Over/Under: Wake Forest (3-3), Boston College (3-3)
The UNDER is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings
The UNDER has hit in 10 of the last 14 Boston College games
The AWAY team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings
78% of the bets for this game are on Wake Forest according to Action Network
Why Wake can cover:
Wake Forest's offense has been a juggernaut this year, putting up 37 or more points in all but one game. Boston College's offense has struggled, only cracking the 30-point mark twice. If Wake Forest takes care of business on offense and takes advantage of the battered BC offensive line on defense, this one could get ugly early.
Why Boston College can cover:
With both teams coming off a bye week, both sides will be well rested but might need to shake off some rust early. A low scoring battle favors BC, and they're more likely to cover if Wake can't get anything going on offense. And let's not forget, this Boston College team has played much better the past few weeks, beating Louisville and competing against Clemson for a half. The Eagles could put up more of a fight than people expect.
READ: Wake Forest Football: Q&A with Boston College Writer
Staff Predictions:
The Pick: Wake Forest -19.5
Boston College is a tough opponent defensively because they frequently switch between packages, including single high safety and closed middle (stuff the box and eliminate big plays). Offensively, the Eagles are down nearly their entire offensive line; this already young unit has allowed 10 sacks in their last three games. Wake Forest’s offense has proven they can go up against anybody, including BC’s multi-look defense. On the other side of the ball, the Deacs should be able to take advantage of the injuries and youth. Zay Flowers' brilliance won’t be able to bail the Eagles out of this one. Give me Wake Forest in a blowout.
Wake Forest 52, Boston College 17
READ: Series History: Wake Forest Football vs Boston College
The Pick: BC +20.5
Boston College and Wake Forest have two common opponents this season. While the Demon Deacons beat Florida State and took Clemson to overtime, the Eagles have lost to those two schools by a combined 58 points. I expect the Deacs to roll to a comfortable victory this Saturday and notch their first home victory over the Eagles since 2012. Wake Forest is simply a better team, and they will take care of business against their struggling rivals. I'll take the points with Boston College though, as I"m expecting them to sneak through the backdoor with a garbage time touchdown.
Wake Forest 35, Boston College 17
The Pick: Wake -19.5
Head coach Dave Clawson spoke in his weekly presser about how Boston College’s single-safety package on defense isn’t something Wake sees often and is thus difficult to prepare for. However, when the Eagles played Clemson, Beaux Collins and co. had a field day against the solo safety look and blew BC out. With Donavon Greene, A.T. Perry and Jahmal Banks lining up on the outside, Wake’s receivers hold the advantage and I expect Sam Hartman to capitalize on the deep ball. I think the passing game will open things up for Justice Ellison and the Grounds Crew, and the Deacs will roll.
Wake Forest 38, Boston College 7
READ: Wake HC Dave Clawson discusses upcoming game against Boston College
The Pick: BC +19.5
Ironically proclaimed “The Rivalry” in the early 2010s, Boston College and Wake Forest notoriously faced off for many years at the very bottom of the ACC Atlantic Standings. The story this year is different though, and the Deacs will have home-field advantage against a struggling Boston College side (2-4). Both sides will be competing for their second ACC win, so don’t rule out the Eagles to put up a strong fight. Veteran receiver Zay Flowers is a special player, the Deacs cannot overlook him. If QB Phil Jurkovec has sufficient time in the pocket, I can see Flowers having a big day against the Wake secondary. I predict a closer ordeal than anticipated, but the Deacs will move to 6-1 in a humbling win.
Wake Forest 31, Boston College 24
Season Record: 4-2
The Pick: Wake -19.5
Coming off a bye week, I expect the Deacs to be ready for the Eagles and keep this game under control. After taking time off for both mental and physical rest, Wake should be near full health on Saturday. The Eagles’ offense has stumbled through their first six games, averaging just 20 points per contest. Meanwhile, Wake boasts a high-powered offense with one of the best receiving rooms in the country to aid the passing game of Sam Hartman. I expect Wake’s offense to be too much for the BC defense and for Wake to cover the spread in this one.
Wake Forest 42, Boston College 17
READ: Boston College Head Coach Jeff Hafley on matchup with Wake Forest
Spread picks season record:
Ben Remis: 5-1
Eliot Leadem: 5-1
Sam Rausch: 4-2
Essex Thayer: 3-3
Ben Conroy: 3-3
Additional Markets:
1st Half Spread: Wake Forest -10.5 (-122), Boston College +10.5 (+100)
1st Half Total: Over 30.5 (-122), Under 30.5 (+100)
Wake Forest Team Total: Over 39.5 (-115), Under 39.5 (-111)
Boston College Team Total: Over 20.5 (-102), Under 20.5 (-125)
Player Props:
WF QB Sam Hartman passing yards: O 298.5 (-114), U 298.5 (-114)
BC QB Phil Jurkovec passing yards: O 209.5 (-114), U 209.5 (-114)
WF WR A.T. Perry receiving yards: O 86.5 (-114), U 86.5 (-114)
WF WR Jahmal Banks receiving yards: O 49.5 (-114), U 49.5 (-114)
BC WR Zay Flowers receiving yards: O 85.5 (-114), U 85.5 (-114)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds:
BC WR Zay Flowers -190
WF RB Christian Turner -175
WF RB Justice Ellison -175
WF WR A.T. Perry -155
WF WR Donavon Greene -105
WF WR Jahmal Banks -105
WF QB Sam Hartman +110
BC RB Pat Garwo III +155
WF TE Blake Whiteheart +200
WF WR Ke'Shawn Williams +210
WF Defense +210
WF WR Taylor Morin +220
All odds via Fanduel sportsbook
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