Clemson vs. Syracuse score prediction by college football computer model
Coming off its second loss of the season, a close overtime battle against rival Florida State, now Clemson hits the road in another ACC conference clash against an undefeated Syracuse in college football's Week 5 action on Saturday.
What can we expect when things kick off? Let's check in on how the SP+ prediction model devised by ESPN analyst Bill Connelly projects the matchup, along with the latest betting information for the Week 5 game.
Clemson vs. Syracuse predictions
Clemson vs. Syracuse picks, predictions
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Score prediction: The models are sticking with Clemson to avoid falling under .500, projected to defeat Syracuse by a score of 27 to 25, by a close projected margin of 2.0 points, and with an overall win probability of 55 percent in the game.
Point spread: Clemson comes into Saturday's game as 7 point favorites against Syracuse, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook, which set the total at 53.5 points for the matchup. If you're using this projection to bet on the game, you should take Syracuse +7 and bet the under.
FPI prediction: College Football Power Index, another computer prediction model, is going for the upset, projecting that Syracuse will defeat Clemson with 55.2 percent likelihood, winning out in 11,040 of the 20,000 simulations the index uses to pick winners. Clemson wins the remaining 8,960 simulations (44.8%).
Where the bets are: A surprising 81 percent of bettors are picking Syracuse at +6.5, compared with 19 percent of wagers sticking with Clemson to win and cover. 9 in 10 bets project the game will go over 53.5 points.
Betting trends: Clemson is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games... Tigers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 vs. Orange... Total went under in 4 of Clemson's last 6 games... Clemson is 2-13 ATS in the last 15 September games... Orange are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5... Total went under in 6 of SU's last 7 vs. Clemson... Syracuse is 8-2 SU in last 10 home games.
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Clemson at Syracuse schedule
When: Sat., Sept. 30
Time: 12 p.m. Eastern
TV: ABC network
Stream live: fuboTV (Try for free)
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