Florida vs. Oregon State picks, predictions: Las Vegas Bowl odds, spread, lines

Picks and predictions for the 2022 Las Vegas Bowl as Florida and Oregon State meet in an SEC vs. Pac-12 clash to kick off college football bowl season

The second day of the 2022 college football bowl season brings us an SEC vs. Pac-12 matchup between Florida and Oregon State in the Las Vegas Bowl on Saturday.

Florida checks in at 6-6 in head coach Billy Napier's debut season, an up-and-down campaign with highlights include a win over a top-10 ranked Utah and low-lights like a loss to perennial SEC cellar-dweller Vanderbilt.

Plus, the Gators won't have starting quarterback Anthony Richardson as he prepares for the NFL Draft, allowing former Ohio State transfer Jack Miller a chance to take the reins of an offense that is skilled when running the ball.

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Oregon State won nine games on the year, enough to earn head coach Jonathan Smith a contract extension after leading the program to its second-straight winning season behind a balanced offense and a disciplined front seven unit.

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

Las Vegas Bowl: Florida vs. Oregon State picks, predictions

Oregon State prediction: FPI projects the Beavers have the edge in this matchup, with a 57.1 percent chance to win the game outright against the SEC challenger.

Florida prediction: By contrast, the computers give the Gators a 42.9 percent chance to take down the Beavers and avoid falling below .500 on the season.

Point spread: Oregon State comes into the matchup as 8.5 point favorites against Florida, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook.

Total: 53 points

Moneyline: Oregon State -376 | Florida +250

Spread consensus pick: Oregon State -8.5

How to watch: The game is set for Sat., Dec. 17 at 2:30 p.m. Eastern time on the main ESPN network and streams live on fuboTV (Try for free).

College Football HQ Prediction: Oregon State 27, Florida 24. Not enough for the Beavers to cover the spread (Florida +8.5) or to hit the over (Under 53).

Picks: Florida vs. Oregon State Las Vegas Bowl prediction, preview

College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season, using a combination of analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, and a team’s schedule.

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College Football Playoff rankings

1. Georgia
2. Michigan
3. TCU
4. Ohio State
5. Alabama
6. Tennessee
7. Clemson
8. Utah
9. Kansas State
10. USC
11. Penn State
12. Washington
13. Florida State
14. Oregon State
15. Oregon
16. Tulane
17. LSU
18. UCLA
19. South Carolina
20. Texas
21. Notre Dame
22. Mississippi State
23. NC State
24. Troy
25. UTSA

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