Florida State vs. Louisville picks, predictions: ACC Championship Game odds, lines
Down to its backup quarterback after a shocking injury but still riding an undefeated record, Florida State comes into the ACC Championship Game looking to make another statement for the selection committee and prove it belongs in the College Football Playoff as it lines up against challenger Louisville on Championship Saturday.
The Cardinals dropped a surprise decision against rival Kentucky in the regular season finale, dropping to 10-2 on the season, and eliminating any of the very slim chances they had to get within reach of the playoff. Those chances never really existed based on the teams ahead in the rankings, but Louisville can still have a direct impact on the playoff if it can pull off the upset here.
Florida State vs. Louisville picks, predictions
Most analytic simulations favor the Seminoles to take care of business this week.
That includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction tool that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick a winner.
So far, the index favors Florida State to win the game in 74.4 percent of its simulations, while Louisville comes out ahead in the remaining 25.6 percent of sims.
By taking each team's scoring margin into account, the computer predicts that Florida State will defeat Louisville by 8.7 points in the game, enough to cover the line on the SI book.
Based on the point spread and total projection, the implied score suggests that Florida State will beat Louisville, 28-24, just enough to cover the spread.
The Seminoles have an implied 63.64 percent chance to win the game outright based on their moneyline odds on the SI book.
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ACC Championship Game 2023 schedule
When: Sat., Dec. 2
Time: 8 p.m. Eastern
TV: ABC network
Stream live: fuboTV (Try for free)
More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams