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Michigan vs. Nebraska game time, picks, predictions: Week 5 college football odds, lines

Expert predictions for Michigan vs. Nebraska by the computer analytics model that picks college football games
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This weekend finds a Big Ten cross-divisional matchup set between one playoff contender and a program in the midst of another rebuild as No. 2 Michigan squares off against Nebraska in college football's Week 5 action on Saturday.

Undefeated through four games posting over 405 yards per game, the Wolverines average 31.75 points per game as quarterback J.J. McCarthy is hitting on 80 percent of his pass attempts with eight touchdowns so far.

Nebraska sits at 2-2 behind a passing attack averaging just 125 yards per game while running for 235 yards on the ground each time out, and playing strong run defense, holding opponents to just 46 yards on average.

What do the experts think of the matchup? Let's see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.

Michigan vs. Nebraska picks, predictions

Michigan Wolverines running back Blake Corum on a rushing attempt during a college football game in the Big Ten.

Michigan vs. Nebraska picks, predictions

Michigan odds: The computers side with the Wolverines, who have an 87.6 percent chance to defeat Nebraska outright, according to the models that simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners (17,520 out of 20,000 sims).

Nebraska odds: Conversely, the Cornhuskers come out the winner of this game in the remaining 12.4 percent of simulations (2,480 out of 20,000 sims).

Point spread: Michigan comes into the game as 17.5 point favorites against Nebraska, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook, which set the total at 39.5 points.

Michigan predictions: Up 2 spots this week on the index 133 team rankings, the Wolverines are projected to be 18.7 points better than an average opponent, and forecasted to win 9.8 games this season.

Nebraska predictions: The index ranks the Huskers at 65th nationally by estimating the team to be a half-point worse than an average opponent, forecasted to win 4.8 games, with a 31.7 percent chance to play in a bowl game.

Michigan vs. Nebraska schedule

When: Sat., Sept. 30
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET, 2:30 p.m. CT
TV: Fox network
Stream live: fuboTV (Try for free)

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College Football Power Index

Football Power Index (FPI) college football rankings and computer prediction model are a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.

Rankings and scores predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season and games, using a combination of key analytics, including scores to date, quality of opponents, team talent, recruiting, and a team’s schedule.

Teams are ranked not strictly in order of talent like in other rankings, but by a projected point margin per game against an average team on a neutral field.

College football rankings

According to AP top 25 poll

  1. Georgia
  2. Michigan
  3. Texas
  4. Ohio State
  5. Florida State
  6. Penn State
  7. Washington
  8. USC
  9. Oregon
  10. Utah
  11. Notre Dame
  12. Alabama
  13. LSU
  14. Oklahoma
  15. North Carolina
  16. Washington State
  17. Duke
  18. Miami
  19. Oregon State
  20. Ole Miss
  21. Tennessee
  22. Florida
  23. Missouri
  24. Kansas
  25. Fresno State

More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

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