Joel Klatt predicts final score, winner for Georgia-Texas matchup

Joel Klatt laid out why he trusts Georgia at home.
Fox Sports analyst Joel Klatt
Fox Sports analyst Joel Klatt | Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

Georgia and Texas meet in a top-10 showcase with major College Football Playoff implications. FOX analyst Joel Klatt laid out why he trusts Georgia to close at home and why Texas must play a complete game to pull off the upset. Kickoff is 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC at Sanford Stadium, with Georgia listed at No. 5 and Texas at No. 10 in the CFP rankings. Oddsmakers pinned the spread in the 5 to 6 point range in favor of the Bulldogs, with a game total in the high 40s.

Klatt begins his case with what happened last year. Georgia beat Texas twice in 2024 — 30-15 in Austin during the regular season and 22-19 in overtime for the SEC title — while piling up pressure on Quinn Ewers. The regular season matchup had seven sacks, and the SEC Championship had six. "Kirby and that defense for Georgia did an incredible job of unlocking the pass protection, getting after Quinn Ewers... He held them under 20 points in both of those games," Klatt said this week.

Georgia enters 8-1 with a top-5 ranking and a defense that pairs with an improving offense. The Bulldogs are in the low 30s nationally in yards per play allowed and inside the top 30 in total defense.

Texas has improved up front, yet protection remains the week-to-week question that will decide whether Arch Manning can get things going. Klatt noted the in-season shuffle that included moving veteran Cole Hutson to left guard. The tweak helped after a bumpy start, but it comes against a Georgia front that is one of the best in the nation.

Georgia Bulldogs running back Nate Frazier
Georgia Bulldogs running back Nate Frazier | Wesley Hale-Imagn Images

Road form is the other piece of Klatt's argument. "Texas on the road this season has not been good. Two losses, two overtime wins," he said. Texas lost 14-7 at Ohio State in the opener, fell 29-21 at Florida, and survived overtime at Kentucky and at Mississippi State. Those games caught the attention of Klatt.

Klatt's look at the game revolves around trust. "Which team do you trust in this game? I trust Georgia... I don't trust this Texas team because we haven't even seen them put together a full 60 minutes," he said. He added that beating Georgia in Athens has required an "otherworldly" quarterback half — pointing to Alabama's Ty Simpson this year — and he challenged Manning to match that level.

Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning
Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning | Scott Wachter-Imagn Images

Joel Klatt's pick for Georgia-Texas

"I have not seen evidence that Texas can go in and beat Georgia... I'm taking Georgia in this one. Georgia wins this one 31-24. They cover the five and a half," Klatt said.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Georgia Bulldogs head coach Kirby Smart
Georgia Bulldogs head coach Kirby Smart | Matt Pendleton-Imagn Images

Read More on College Football HQ


Published
Patrick Previty
PATRICK PREVITY

In addition to writing for On SI, Patrick is also a site expert for Canes Warning and has previously written for outlets such as Betsided, Orlando Magic Daily and Southbound and Down. He serves as a sideline reporter for ESPN+, covering UCF athletics and the Big 12 Conference. In 2024, he hosted a live, on-site UCF football pregame show that aired on ESPN+. Patrick has interviewed numerous figures in the college sports world, ranging from players to UCF’s athletic director. Recently, he traveled to Mobile, Ala., to cover the 2025 Reese’s Senior Bowl, where he spoke with multiple NFL Draft prospects. Patrick also hosts coverage of the Orlando Magic for Digest Media on YouTube and has become one of the leading voices on the team in the region. Patrick also helps run the social media department for The Voice of College Football Network, focusing on breaking news and digital storytelling. Patrick previously spent time at CNN in the sports department, where he assisted with CNN’s World Sport show and Bleacher Report updates for morning programming. Hailing from the Tampa Bay Area, Patrick is a lifelong fan of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tampa Bay Rays, Tampa Bay Lightning, Orlando Magic and UCF Knights.