Can Georgia Make the College Football Playoff with a Loss in the SECCG?

Can the Georgia Bulldogs still make the college football playoff if they lose to Texas in the SEC Championship Game?
Nov 29, 2024; Athens, Georgia, USA; Georgia Bulldogs head coach Kirby Smart on the sideline against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in the second quarter at Sanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images
Nov 29, 2024; Athens, Georgia, USA; Georgia Bulldogs head coach Kirby Smart on the sideline against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in the second quarter at Sanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images / Brett Davis-Imagn Images
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Can the Georgia Bulldogs still make the college football playoff if they lose to Texas in the SEC Championship Game?

On Saturday night, Georgia discovered that they will have a rematch against the Texas Longhorns in the SEC Championship this coming weekend in Atlanta. The Bulldogs got the best of Texas in their matchup in the regular season which was played in Austin. This time it will be played on a neutral field. Obviously, the winner of the game locks down a top-four seed and a first-round bye, but what about the loser? Has Georgia done enough to still be in the playoff even if they lose?

While Georgia already has two losses on the season, they will be playing an extra game that most other teams will not, so punishing them for losing an extra game seems a bit unfair. Also, if Georgia were to lose to a team in the conference championship game that they beat on the road earlier in the year, then it would feel like a wash and that both teams deserve a spot. That is assuming though that it is a close game between the two programs. A blowout would likely be a different story.

Let's also use another perspective. According to ESPN's college football playoff predictor, Georgia has a 98% chance to make the playoff even if they lose on Saturday to Texas. They also have a 63% chance of hosting a first-round playoff game even a loss. So it seems like the Dawgs have locked down their spot in the playoffs regardless of what happens in Atlanta this weekend.

Another fun stat to consider in this situation is that over the seven rematches teams have had in the SEC Championship Game, the team that won in the regular season also won the conference title five times. The latest exception to that oddly enough was Georgia in 2017 when they avenged their loss against Auburn in the title game.

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Jonathan Williams
JONATHAN WILLIAMS