Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Memphis

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Tigers for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

Nov 21, 2025; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Louisville Cardinals forward Sananda Fru (13) drives to the basket against the Cincinnati Bearcats in the first half at Heritage Bank Center. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-Imagn Images | Aaron Doster-Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (8-1, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Memphis (4-4, 0-0 American) on Saturday, Dec. 13 at 3:30 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Tigers:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	Memphis	Louisville
AP/USAT	NR/NR	11th/11th
SOS	9th	114th
SOR	95th	16th
NET	126th	13th
RPI	121st	40th
BPI	71st	5th
KenPom	65th	14th
Torvik	61st	13th
EvanMiya	84th	15th

Team Leaders

	Memphis	Louisville
Points	Dug McDaniel (13.9)	Ryan Conwell (19.7)
Rebounds	Zachary Davis (5.3)	Sananda Fru (6.2)
Assists	Dug McDaniel (6.4)	Mikel Brown Jr. (5.3)
Steals	Dug McDaniel (1.9)	Kobe Rodgers (1.4)
Blocks	William Whorton (1.2)	Sananda Fru (1.2)

Scoring

	Memphis	Louisville
Points Per Game	76.0	93.8
Field Goal %	43.2	47.2
FGM/FGA Per Game	26.6/61.6	30.4/64.6
Three Point %	32.4	36.0
3PTM/3PTA	7.1/22.0	12.7/35.2
Free Throw %	70.2	77.1
FTM/FTA Per Game	15.6/22.3	20.2/26.2

Rebounding

	Memphis	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	37.5	43.6
Off. Reb. Per Game	14.1	13.2
Def. Reb. Per Game	23.4	30.3
Rebound Margin	0.7	8.8

Defense

	Memphis	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	74.1	67.6
Opp. FG%	41.3	37.4
Opp. 3PT%	31.8	29.7
Steals Per Game	8.3	8.6
Blocks Per Game	4.3	3.9
Turnovers Forced Per Game	12.5	14.2

Ball Handling

	Memphis	Louisville
Assists Per Game	14.8	19.2
Turnovers Per Game	13.1	10.7
Turnover Margin	-0.6	3.5
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.13	1.79

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, the Cardinals have a 93.6 percent chance to win against the Tigers. Louisville has a BPI rating of 21.8 (5th overall), whereas Memphis has a BPI rating of 9.1 (71st overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 88 percent chance to take down the Tigers, with a projected final score of 86-73 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +26.54 (14th overall), whereas Memphis has an adjusted efficiency margin of +13.04 (65th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 88 percent chance to take down the Tigers, with a projected final score of 86-72 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9394 (13th overall), whereas Memphis has a "Barthag" of .7949 (61st overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 84, Memphis 76.

(Photo of Sananda Fru: Aaron Doster - Imagn Images)

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