Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Indiana

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Hoosiers for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

Dec 3, 2025; Fayetteville, Arkansas, USA; Louisville Cardinals guard Ryan Conwell (3) shoots against Arkansas Razorbacks wing Karter Knox (11) during the second half at Bud Walton Arena. Arkansas won 89-80. Mandatory Credit: Nelson Chenault-Imagn Images | Nelson Chenault-Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (7-1, 0-0 ACC) is set to face Indiana (7-1, 0-1 Big Ten) on Saturday, Dec. 6 at 2:15 p.m. EST at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Hoosiers:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	Indiana	Louisville
AP/USAT	22nd/19th	6th/6th
SOS	167th	193rd
SOR	47th	20th
NET	24th	12th
RPI	36th	64th
BPI	17th	3rd
KenPom	26th	13th
Torvik	21st	12th
EvanMiya	24th	14th

Team Leaders

	Indiana	Louisville
Points	Tucker DeVries (16.8)	Ryan Conwell (19.5)
Rebounds	Sam Alexis (6.0)	Sananda Fru (6.1)
Assists	Tayton Conerway (4.9)	Mikel Brown Jr. (5.6)
Steals	Tayton Conerway (2.0)	Kobe Rodgers (1.5)
Blocks	Sam Alexis (1.3)	Sananda Fru (1.3)

Scoring

	Indiana	Louisville
Points Per Game	86.4	94.6
Field Goal %	49.4	47.2
FGM/FGA	29.3/59.5	31.1/65.9
Three Point %	36.8	35.3
3PTM/3PTA	10.3/27.9	12.6/35.8
Free Throw %	75.0	76.0
FTM/FTA Per Game	17.6/23.5	19.8/26.0

Rebounding

	Indiana	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	37.5	44.8
Off. Reb Per Game	28.0	14.0
Def. Reb. Per Game	9.5	30.8
Rebound Margin	4.2	9.9

Defense

	Indiana	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	63.8	66.2
Opp. FG%	37.5	36.9
Opp. 3PT%	30.8	29.2
Steals Per Game	6.9	8.5
Blocks Per Game	3.4	3.8
Turnovers Forced Per Game	13.8	14.4

Ball Handling

	Indiana	Louisville
Assists Per Game	20.0	19.8
Turnovers Per Game	9.4	10.4
Turnover Margin	4.4	4.0
Assist/Turnover Ratio	2.1	1.9

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, the Cardinals have a 68.5 percent chance to win against the Hoosiers. Louisville has a BPI rating of 21.9 (3rd overall), whereas Indiana has a BPI rating of 17.2 (17th overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 64 percent chance to take down the Hoosiers, with a projected final score of 82-78 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +26.28 (13th overall), whereas Indiana has an adjusted efficiency margin of +20.71 (26th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 59 percent chance to take down the Hoosiers, with a projected final score of 80-78 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9344 (12th overall), whereas Indiana has a "Barthag" of .9097 (21st overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 85, Indiana 79.

(Photo of Ryan Conwell: Nelson Chenault - Imagn Images)

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