Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Pitt

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Panthers for their Saturday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

Mar 1, 2025; Louisville, Kentucky, USA; Louisville Cardinals guard J'Vonne Hadley (1) dribbles past Pittsburgh Panthers forward Cameron Corhen (2) during the second half at KFC Yum! Center. Louisville defeated Pittsburgh 79-68. Mandatory Credit: Jamie Rhodes-Imagn Images | Jamie Rhodes-Imagn Images

LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Louisville (12-5, 2-3 ACC) is set to face Pitt (8-9, 1-3 ACC) on Saturday, Jan. 17 at 8:00 p.m. EST at the Petersen Events Center. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Panthers:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

	Pitt	Louisville
AP/USAT	NR/NR	20th/18th
SOS	38th	41st
SOR	136th	38th
NET	101st	21st
RPI	118th	45th
BPI	72nd	11th
KenPom	83rd	21st
Torvik	80th	21st
EvanMiya	82nd	24th

Team Leaders

	Pitt	Louisville
Points	Brandin Cummings (13.6)	Ryan Conwell (19.5)
Rebounds	Cameron Corhen (7.9)	Sananda Fru (7.0)
Assists	Damarco Minor (3.6)	Mikel Brown Jr. (5.1)
Steals	Damarco Minor (1.7)	Ryan Conwell (1.4)
Blocks	Barry Dunning Jr. (1.0)	Sananda Fru (1.2)

Scoring

	Pitt	Louisville
Points Per Game	74.1	87.2
Field Goal %	45.9	46.1
FGM/FGA Per Game	26.6/57.9	29.0/62.9
Three Point %	35.2	34.3
3PTM/3PTA Per Game	8.4/23.7	11.7/34.2
Free Throw %	69.7	76.8
FTM/FTA Per Game	12.6/18.1	17.5/22.8

Rebounding

	Pitt	Louisville
Rebounds Per Game	34.6	41.6
Off. Reb. Per Game	11.5	12.9
Def. Reb. Per Game	23.1	28.8
Rebound Margin	2.8	7.4

Defense

	Pitt	Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game	69.4	70.2
Opp. FG%	43.8	39.3
Opp. 3PT%	33.9	32.3
Steals Per Game	7.1	7.4
Blocks Per Game	3.4	3.5
Turnovers Forced Per Game	11.4	12.8

Ball Handling

	Pitt	Louisville
Assists Per Game	13.4	17.5
Turnovers Per Game	11.1	11.5
Turnover Margin	0.3	1.3
Assist/Turnover Ratio	1.20	1.52

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, the Cardinals have a 79.3 percent chance to win against the Panthers. Louisville has a BPI rating of 19.6 (11th overall), whereas Pitt has a BPI rating of 8.3 (72nd overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 70 percent chance to take down the Panthers, with a projected final score of 80-74 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +23.30 (21st overall), whereas Pitt has an adjusted efficiency margin of +10.38 (83rd overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 70 percent chance to take down the Panthers, with a projected final score of 79-74 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9237 (21st overall), whereas Pitt has a "Barthag" of .7415 (80th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 82, Pitt 75.

(Photo of Cameron Corhen, J'Vonne Hadley: Jamie Rhodes - Imagn Images)

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